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Copenhagen Sprint

2026 Denmark One Day
Finished

Predictions

Race Winner

Jason Tesson
51%
Jasper Philipsen
23%
Tim Merlier
6%
Jonathan Milan
5%
Arvid De Kleijn
2%
Arnaud De Lie
2%
Dylan Groenewegen
1%
Sam Bennett
1%

Top 10 Probability

Jason Tesson
100%
Jasper Philipsen
100%
Tim Merlier
100%
Jonathan Milan
83%
Arvid De Kleijn
40%
Arnaud De Lie
26%
Dylan Groenewegen
11%
Sam Bennett
10%

Model Reasoning

Jason Tesson is the strong favourite (51%) for this flat sprint stage. Key factors: excellent sprint record (100% top-5 rate in sprint stages); and fresh legs (early in the race). Main threats: Jasper Philipsen (23%) — excellent sprint record (61% top-5 rate in sprint stages); Tim Merlier (6%) — excellent sprint record (48% top-5 rate in sprint stages).

Race Result

Pos Rider Team Gap
1 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech
2 Tobias Lund Andresen Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t.
3 Sam Welsford Netcompany INEOS s.t.
4 Tord Gudmestad Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t.
5 Danny Van Poppel Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t.
6 Max Walscheid Lidl - Trek s.t.
7 Frits Biesterbos Team Picnic PostNL s.t.
8 Jason Tesson TotalEnergies s.t.
9 Rune Herregodts UAE Team Emirates - XRG s.t.
10 Soren Kragh Andersen Lidl - Trek s.t.
11 Loe Van Belle Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t.
12 Julius Van Den Berg Team Picnic PostNL s.t.
13 Robin Froidevaux Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t.
14 Soren Waerenskjold Uno-X Mobility s.t.
15 Michael Valgren EF Education - EasyPost s.t.
16 Anders Foldager Team Jayco AlUla s.t.
17 Carl-Frederik Bevort Uno-X Mobility s.t.
18 Tim Torn Teutenberg Lidl - Trek s.t.
19 Matteo Moschetti Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team s.t.
20 Jonas Rickaert Alpecin - Premier Tech s.t.

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result
Race Winner Jason Tesson (51%) Jasper Philipsen ✗ Wrong