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Cyclassics Hamburg

2026 Germany One Day
Finished

Predictions

Race Winner

Olav Kooij
13%
Jonathan Milan
7%
Arnaud De Lie
3%
Biniam Girmay
3%
Kaden Groves
2%
Dylan Groenewegen
2%
Paul Magnier
2%
Sam Bennett
2%

Top 10 Probability

Olav Kooij
100%
Jonathan Milan
100%
Arnaud De Lie
49%
Biniam Girmay
43%
Kaden Groves
33%
Dylan Groenewegen
30%
Paul Magnier
27%
Sam Bennett
26%

Model Reasoning

Olav Kooij is the contender (13%) for this flat sprint stage. Key factors: limited sprinting speed (not a natural sprinter); excellent sprint record (44% top-5 rate in sprint stages); and fresh legs (early in the race). Main threat: Jonathan Milan (7%) — limited sprinting speed (not a natural sprinter).

Race Result

Pos Rider Team Gap
1 Paul Magnier Soudal Quick-Step —
2 Mike Teunissen XDS Astana Team s.t.
3 Laurence Pithie Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t.
4 Paul Penhoet Groupama - FDJ United s.t.
5 Henri Uhlig Alpecin - Premier Tech s.t.
6 Milan Fretin Cofidis s.t.
7 Noah Hobbs EF Education - EasyPost s.t.
8 Soren Waerenskjold Uno-X Mobility s.t.
9 Huub Artz Lotto Intermarché s.t.
10 Arnaud De Lie Lotto Intermarché s.t.
11 Axel Laurance Netcompany INEOS s.t.
12 Luca Mozzato Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t.
13 Alexis Renard Cofidis s.t.
14 Orluis Aular Movistar Team s.t.
15 Filippo Fiorelli Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t.
16 Matyas Kopecky Unibet Rose Rockets s.t.
17 Matej Mohoric Bahrain - Victorious s.t.
18 Jon Barrenetxea Movistar Team s.t.
19 Sakarias Koller Loland Uno-X Mobility s.t.
20 Axel Huens Groupama - FDJ United s.t.

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result
Race Winner Olav Kooij (13%) Paul Magnier ✗ Wrong