Gp Montreal

2026 Canada One Day

Finished

Predictions

Race Winner

Kaden Groves

3%

Remco Evenepoel

2%

Michael Matthews

2%

Tom Pidcock

2%

Tiesj Benoot

1%

Maxim Van Gils

1%

Ben Healy

1%

Giulio Ciccone

1%

Top 10 Probability

Kaden Groves

49%

Remco Evenepoel

37%

Michael Matthews

30%

Tom Pidcock

24%

Tiesj Benoot

18%

Maxim Van Gils

17%

Ben Healy

17%

Giulio Ciccone

16%

Model Reasoning

Kaden Groves is the outside chance (3%) for this flat sprint stage. Key factors: limited sprinting speed (not a natural sprinter); solid sprint pedigree (23% top-5 rate in sprint stages); and fresh legs (early in the race).

Race Result

Pos	Rider	Team	Gap
1	Isaac Del Toro	UAE Team Emirates - XRG	—
2	Paul Seixas	Decathlon CMA CGM Team	s.t.
3	Brandon Mcnulty	UAE Team Emirates - XRG	+27"
4	Quinn Simmons	Lidl - Trek	+30"
5	Remco Evenepoel	Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe	+35"
6	Tom Pidcock	Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team	+36"
7	Giulio Ciccone	Lidl - Trek	s.t.
8	Afonso Eulalio	EF Education - EasyPost	s.t.
9	Ben Healy	Bahrain - Victorious	+39"
10	Lennert Van Eetvelt	Lotto Intermarché	s.t.
11	Alex Baudin	EF Education - EasyPost	+42"
12	Alberto Bettiol	XDS Astana Team	+43"
13	Adam Yates	UAE Team Emirates - XRG	+55"
14	Riley Sheehan	NSN Cycling Team	+1'16"
15	Jhonatan Narvaez	UAE Team Emirates - XRG	+1'27"
16	Simone Gualdi	Lotto Intermarché	s.t.
17	Andrew August	Netcompany INEOS	s.t.
18	Michael Woods	Canada	s.t.
19	Guillermo Thomas Silva	Team Visma \| Lease a Bike	s.t.
20	Matteo Jorgenson	XDS Astana Team	s.t.

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result

Race Winner Kaden Groves (3%) Isaac Del Toro ✗ Wrong