Gp Quebec

2026 Canada One Day

Finished

Predictions

Race Winner

Kaden Groves

3%

Remco Evenepoel

2%

Michael Matthews

2%

Tom Pidcock

2%

Tiesj Benoot

1%

Maxim Van Gils

1%

Ben Healy

1%

Giulio Ciccone

1%

Top 10 Probability

Kaden Groves

49%

Remco Evenepoel

37%

Michael Matthews

31%

Tom Pidcock

24%

Tiesj Benoot

18%

Maxim Van Gils

17%

Ben Healy

17%

Giulio Ciccone

16%

Model Reasoning

Kaden Groves is the outside chance (3%) for this flat sprint stage. Key factors: limited sprinting speed (not a natural sprinter); solid sprint pedigree (23% top-5 rate in sprint stages); and fresh legs (early in the race).

Race Result

Pos	Rider	Team	Gap
1	Remco Evenepoel	Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe	—
2	Giulio Ciccone	Lidl - Trek	s.t.
3	Anthon Charmig	Uno-X Mobility	+15"
4	Tom Pidcock	Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team	+28"
5	Quinn Simmons	Lidl - Trek	+30"
6	Michael Matthews	Team Jayco AlUla	+35"
7	Paul Lapeira	Decathlon CMA CGM Team	+43"
8	Matteo Jorgenson	Team Visma \| Lease a Bike	s.t.
9	Maximilian Schachmann	NSN Cycling Team	+45"
10	Alessandro Pinarello	Soudal Quick-Step	+47"
11	Jenno Berckmoes	Lotto Intermarché	+57"
12	Maxim Van Gils	Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe	s.t.
13	Simone Gualdi	Lotto Intermarché	s.t.
14	Alex Baudin	EF Education - EasyPost	s.t.
15	Sean Quinn	EF Education - EasyPost	s.t.
16	Andrea Raccagni Noviero	Soudal Quick-Step	s.t.
17	Paul Seixas	Decathlon CMA CGM Team	s.t.
18	Quinten Hermans	Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team	s.t.
19	Jonas Rutsch	Lotto Intermarché	+1'01"
20	Toms Skujins	Lidl - Trek	+1'05"

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result

Race Winner Kaden Groves (3%) Remco Evenepoel ✗ Wrong