La Vuelta

2026 Spain Stage Race

Finished

20 / 21 stages completed

Predictions

Stage Winner — Stage 21

Wout Van Aert

22%

Axel Laurance

Bryan Coquard

Matthew Brennan

Jordi Meeus

Orluis Aular

Pello Bilbao

Ethan Hayter

Top 10 Probability

Wout Van Aert

93%

Axel Laurance

40%

Bryan Coquard

29%

Matthew Brennan

29%

Jordi Meeus

28%

Orluis Aular

23%

Pello Bilbao

17%

Ethan Hayter

17%

Model Reasoning

Wout Van Aert is the slight favourite (22%) for this hilly/mixed stage. Key factors: consistent on mixed stages (30% top-5 rate); and race leader — team will be well-organised in his support.

General Classification

Pos	Rider	Team	Gap	GC Win %
1	Enric Mas	Movistar Team	Leader	98%
2	Primoz Roglic	Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe	+2'15"	2%
3	Felix Gall	Decathlon CMA CGM Team	+2'44"	1%
4	Richard Carapaz	EF Education - EasyPost	+6'54"
5	Sepp Kuss	Team Visma \| Lease a Bike	+8'45"
6	Jakob Omrzel	Bahrain - Victorious	+9'28"
7	Oscar Onley	Netcompany INEOS	+10'38"
8	Clement Berthet	Groupama - FDJ United	+11'41"
9	Cristian Rodriguez	XDS Astana Team	+11'59"
10	Harold Tejada	XDS Astana Team	+12'51"
11	Guillaume Martin	Groupama - FDJ United	+20'14"
12	Leo Bisiaux	Decathlon CMA CGM Team	+25'03"
13	Mattias Skjelmose	Lidl - Trek	+25'43"
14	Mario Aparicio	Burgos Burpellet BH	+42'17"
15	Jan Hirt	NSN Cycling Team	+43'20"
16	Juan Felipe Rodriguez	EF Education - EasyPost	+47'56"
17	Santiago Buitrago	Bahrain - Victorious	+50'56"
18	Filippo Zana	Soudal Quick-Step	+58'44"
19	Urko Berrade	Equipo Kern Pharma	+1h01'09"
20	Embret Svestad-Bardseng	Netcompany INEOS	+1h10'46"

Stages

Stage 1 ITT

9 km ▲ 55 m

✓

1 Tadej Pogacar UAE Team Emirates - XRG 0:10:57

2 Ethan Hayter Soudal Quick-Step s.t.

3 Joshua Tarling Netcompany INEOS +4"

4 Callum Thornley Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +5"

5 Christophe Laporte Team Visma | Lease a Bike +6"

Stage 2 Mountain

214 km ▲ 3,028 m

✓

1 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike 4:47:47 -10″

2 Pau Miquel Bahrain - Victorious s.t. -6″

3 Tadej Pogacar UAE Team Emirates - XRG s.t. -4″

4 Mads Pedersen Lidl - Trek s.t.

5 Hugo Hofstetter NSN Cycling Team s.t.

Stage 4 Mountain

105 km ▲ 3,024 m

✓

1 Tadej Pogacar UAE Team Emirates - XRG 2:40:35 -16″

2 Jarno Widar Lotto Intermarché +2'39" -6″

3 Felix Gall Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t. -6″

4 Oscar Onley Netcompany INEOS s.t. -4″

5 Sepp Kuss Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t.

Stage 5 Hilly

173 km ▲ 1,689 m

✓

1 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike 3:47:02 -10″

2 Jordi Meeus Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t. -6″

3 Vincenzo Albanese EF Education - EasyPost s.t. -4″

4 Alessandro Romele XDS Astana Team s.t.

5 Axel Laurance Netcompany INEOS s.t.

Stage 6 Hilly

177 km ▲ 2,984 m

✓

1 Tadej Pogacar UAE Team Emirates - XRG 4:12:40 -14″

2 Enric Mas Movistar Team s.t. -12″

3 Ramses Debruyne Alpecin - Premier Tech +46" -4″

4 Richard Carapaz EF Education - EasyPost s.t.

5 Harold Tejada XDS Astana Team s.t.

Stage 7 Mountain

150 km ▲ 3,597 m

✓

1 Andreas Leknessund Uno-X Mobility 3:49:47 -10″

2 Tobias Halland Johannessen Uno-X Mobility +34" -6″

3 Wout Van Aert Team Visma | Lease a Bike +47" -10″

4 Jakob Omrzel Bahrain - Victorious +58"

5 Juan Felipe Rodriguez EF Education - EasyPost +1'13"

Stage 8 Hilly

171 km ▲ 1,280 m

✓

1 Bryan Coquard Cofidis 3:47:06 -10″

2 Mads Pedersen Lidl - Trek s.t. -6″

3 Jordi Meeus Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t. -4″

4 Ben Turner Netcompany INEOS s.t.

5 Jordan Labrosse Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t. -4″

Stage 9 Mountain

187 km ▲ 4,952 m

✓

1 Enric Mas Movistar Team 5:10:40 -10″

2 Oscar Onley Netcompany INEOS s.t. -6″

3 Primoz Roglic Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +12" -4″

4 Felix Gall Decathlon CMA CGM Team +18"

5 Cristian Rodriguez XDS Astana Team +20"

Stage 10 Mountain

185 km ▲ 2,669 m

✓

1 Bastien Tronchon Groupama - FDJ United 4:07:41 -10″

2 Magnus Cort Uno-X Mobility s.t. -6″

3 Thibau Nys Lidl - Trek s.t. -4″

4 Wout Van Aert Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t.

5 Alessandro Romele XDS Astana Team s.t.

Stage 11 Hilly

151 km ▲ 1,444 m

✓

1 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike 3:17:18 -10″

2 Bryan Coquard Cofidis s.t. -6″

3 Jordi Meeus Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t. -4″

4 Magnus Cort Uno-X Mobility s.t.

5 Wout Van Aert Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t. -2″

Stage 12 Mountain

167 km ▲ 4,475 m

✓

1 Jakob Omrzel Bahrain - Victorious 4:29:53 -10″

2 Urko Berrade Equipo Kern Pharma +1'56" -6″

3 Santiago Buitrago Bahrain - Victorious +2'13" -10″

4 Alexey Lutsenko NSN Cycling Team +2'49" -4″

5 Mauri Vansevenant Soudal Quick-Step +2'53"

Stage 13 Hilly

193 km ▲ 3,277 m

✓

1 Wout Van Aert Team Visma | Lease a Bike 4:34:00 -10″

2 Valentin Paret-Peintre Soudal Quick-Step s.t. -6″

3 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike +24" -10″

4 Jarno Widar Lotto Intermarché s.t.

5 Vincenzo Albanese EF Education - EasyPost s.t.

Stage 14 Mountain

155 km ▲ 4,107 m

✓

1 Marco Brenner Tudor Pro Cycling Team 4:15:09 -10″

2 Santiago Buitrago Bahrain - Victorious +1" -6″

3 Cristian Rodriguez XDS Astana Team +11" -8″

4 Ivan Ramiro Sosa Equipo Kern Pharma +14"

5 Valentin Paret-Peintre Soudal Quick-Step +22"

Stage 15 Hilly

190 km ▲ 2,853 m

✓

1 Wout Van Aert Team Visma | Lease a Bike 2:35:00 -10″

2 Alessandro Romele XDS Astana Team s.t. -8″

3 Thibau Nys Lidl - Trek s.t. -4″

4 Ramses Debruyne Alpecin - Premier Tech +2" -6″

5 Andreas Leknessund Uno-X Mobility s.t. -4″

Stage 16 Hilly

181 km ▲ 1,914 m

✓

1 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike 3:56:33 -10″

2 Bryan Coquard Cofidis s.t. -6″

3 Vito Braet Lotto Intermarché s.t. -4″

4 Jordi Meeus Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t.

5 Magnus Cort Uno-X Mobility s.t.

Stage 17 Hilly

185 km ▲ 930 m

✓

1 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike 4:07:15 -10″

2 Jordi Meeus Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe s.t. -6″

3 Magnus Cort Uno-X Mobility s.t. -4″

4 Alessandro Romele XDS Astana Team s.t.

5 Steffen De Schuyteneer Lotto Intermarché s.t.

Stage 18 ITT

32 km ▲ 169 m

✓

1 Stefan Kung Tudor Pro Cycling Team 0:35:22

2 Callum Thornley Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +2"

3 Joao Almeida UAE Team Emirates - XRG +8"

4 Primoz Roglic Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +18"

5 Wout Van Aert Team Visma | Lease a Bike +19"

Stage 19 Mountain

211 km ▲ 3,987 m

✓

1 Eddie Dunbar Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team 5:00:54 -10″

2 Santiago Buitrago Bahrain - Victorious +14" -6″

3 Thomas Gloag Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team +23" -4″

4 Urko Berrade Equipo Kern Pharma +44"

5 Marcel Camprubi Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team +1'44"

Stage 20 Mountain

187 km ▲ 4,849 m

✓

1 Mikel Landa Soudal Quick-Step 4:58:01 -16″

2 Tobias Halland Johannessen Uno-X Mobility +47" -8″

3 Ramses Debruyne Alpecin - Premier Tech +1'27" -8″

4 Pau Miquel Bahrain - Victorious +3'00"

5 Urko Berrade Equipo Kern Pharma +4'12"

Stage 21 Hilly

112 km ▲ 1,311 m

✓

1 Tobias Halland Johannessen Uno-X Mobility 2:54:08

2 Alessandro Romele XDS Astana Team s.t. -6″

3 Ramses Debruyne Alpecin - Premier Tech s.t.

4 Matthew Brennan Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t. -2″

5 Bastien Tronchon Groupama - FDJ United s.t.

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result

GC Winner Oscar Chamberlain (1%) Enric Mas ✗ Wrong