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Renewi Tour

2026 Belgium Stage Race
Finished
5 / 5 stages completed

Predictions

Stage Winner — Stage 5

Olav Kooij
23%
Biniam Girmay
9%
Jasper Philipsen
9%
Arnaud De Lie
4%
Pavel Bittner
3%
Marijn Van Den Berg
2%
Tim Merlier
2%
Quinten Hermans
2%

Top 10 Probability

Olav Kooij
100%
Biniam Girmay
100%
Jasper Philipsen
100%
Arnaud De Lie
48%
Pavel Bittner
39%
Marijn Van Den Berg
27%
Tim Merlier
22%
Quinten Hermans
22%

Model Reasoning

Olav Kooij is the slight favourite (23%) for this hilly/mixed stage. Key factor: consistent on mixed stages (35% top-5 rate). Main threats: Biniam Girmay (9%) — consistent on mixed stages (26% top-5 rate); Jasper Philipsen (9%) — consistent on mixed stages (29% top-5 rate).

General Classification

Pos Rider Team Gap GC Win %
1 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech Leader 10%
2 Jenno Berckmoes Lotto Intermarché +14" 8%
3 Olav Kooij Decathlon CMA CGM Team +20" 7%
4 Mike Teunissen XDS Astana Team +32" 3%
5 Quinten Hermans Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team +33" 4%
6 Alec Segaert Bahrain - Victorious +37" 3%
7 Soren Waerenskjold Uno-X Mobility +37" 3%
8 Matteo Trentin Tudor Pro Cycling Team +38" 3%
9 Robert Donaldson Team Jayco AlUla +39" 3%
10 Filippo Fiorelli Team Visma | Lease a Bike +40" 3%
11 Axel Huens Groupama - FDJ United +40" 3%
12 Marijn Van Den Berg EF Education - EasyPost +41" 3%
13 Tim Van Dijke Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +41" 3%
14 Pepijn Reinderink Soudal Quick-Step +41" 3%
15 Toms Skujins Netcompany INEOS +42" 2%
16 Pavel Bittner Team Picnic PostNL +44" 2%
17 Florian Vermeersch UAE Team Emirates - XRG +44" 2%
18 Michiel Lambrecht Team Flanders - Baloise +44" 3%
19 Kim Heiduk Lidl - Trek +44" 2%
20 Tomas Kopecky Unibet Rose Rockets +44" 2%

Stages

Stage 1 Hilly
191 km ▲ 1,090 m
✓
1 Jonathan Milan Lidl - Trek 4:04:18 -10″
2 Olav Kooij Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t. -6″
3 Tim Merlier Soudal Quick-Step s.t. -4″
4 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech s.t.
5 Sam Bennett Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team s.t.
Stage 2 Flat
174 km ▲ 470 m
✓
1 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech 3:11:27 -10″
2 Joshua Giddings Lotto Intermarché s.t. -6″
3 Soren Waerenskjold Uno-X Mobility s.t. -4″
4 Matteo Milan Groupama - FDJ United s.t.
5 Arvid De Kleijn Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t.
Stage 3 Mountain
185 km ▲ 1,916 m
✓
1 Jenno Berckmoes Lotto Intermarché 4:09:11 -18″
2 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech +3" -6″
3 Olav Kooij Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t. -4″
4 Arnaud De Lie Lotto Intermarché s.t.
5 Robert Donaldson Team Jayco AlUla +6"
Stage 4 Mountain
187 km ▲ 1,457 m
✓
1 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech 3:57:45 -10″
2 Olav Kooij Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t. -6″
3 Alessandro Borgo Bahrain - Victorious s.t. -4″
4 Dylan Groenewegen Unibet Rose Rockets s.t.
5 Luca Mozzato Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t.
Stage 5 Hilly
184 km ▲ 1,821 m
✓
1 Jasper Philipsen Alpecin - Premier Tech 4:06:49 -10″
2 Luca Mozzato Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t. -6″
3 Mike Teunissen XDS Astana Team s.t. -4″
4 Filippo Fiorelli Team Visma | Lease a Bike s.t.
5 Alessandro Borgo Bahrain - Victorious s.t.

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result
GC Winner Brent Van Moer (1%) Jasper Philipsen ✗ Wrong