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Tour de Pologne

2026 Poland Stage Race
Finished
7 / 7 stages completed

Predictions

Stage Winner — Stage 7

Jonathan Milan
10%
Paul Magnier
5%
Axel Laurance
5%
Jordi Meeus
3%
Paul Penhoet
3%
Marijn Van Den Berg
3%
Maximilian Schachmann
2%
Ethan Hayter
1%

Top 10 Probability

Jonathan Milan
100%
Paul Magnier
68%
Axel Laurance
65%
Jordi Meeus
43%
Paul Penhoet
38%
Marijn Van Den Berg
34%
Maximilian Schachmann
21%
Ethan Hayter
19%

Model Reasoning

Jonathan Milan is the contender (10%) for this hilly/mixed stage. Key factor: consistent on mixed stages (25% top-5 rate).

General Classification

Pos Rider Team Gap GC Win %
1 Marco Brenner Tudor Pro Cycling Team Leader 10%
2 Finn Fisher-Black Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +10" 5%
3 Ivan Romeo Movistar Team +16" 4%
4 Louis Barre Team Visma | Lease a Bike +19" 14%
5 Bart Lemmen Team Visma | Lease a Bike +20" 14%
6 Christian Scaroni XDS Astana Team +22" 17%
7 Jan Christen Groupama - FDJ United +25" 6%
8 Matteo Sobrero Lidl - Trek +28" 4%
9 Alberto Bettiol XDS Astana Team +30" 4%
10 Aleksandr Vlasov Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +34" 3%
11 Paul Lapeira Uno-X Mobility +40" 5%
12 Alexey Lutsenko NSN Cycling Team +48" 2%
13 Andreas Kron Uno-X Mobility +52" 4%
14 Mark Donovan Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team +1'03" 1%
15 Andreas Leknessund Uno-X Mobility +1'07" 1%
16 Wilco Kelderman Team Visma | Lease a Bike +1'08" 3%
17 Maximilian Schachmann Soudal Quick-Step +1'09" 2%
18 Axel Laurance Netcompany INEOS +1'18" 1%
19 Fredrik Dversnes Lavik Decathlon CMA CGM Team +1'26"
20 Juan Guillermo Martinez Team Picnic PostNL +2'06" 1%

Stages

Stage 1 Flat
234 km ▲ 1,839 m
1 Jonathan Milan Lidl - Trek 5:04:11 -10″
2 Paul Magnier Soudal Quick-Step s.t. -6″
3 Noah Hobbs EF Education - EasyPost s.t. -4″
4 Juan Sebastian Molano UAE Team Emirates - XRG s.t.
5 Gerben Thijssen Alpecin - Premier Tech s.t.
Stage 2 Flat
150 km ▲ 579 m
1 Jonathan Milan Lidl - Trek 3:05:37 -10″
2 Paul Magnier Soudal Quick-Step s.t. -6″
3 Matteo Malucelli XDS Astana Team s.t. -4″
4 Ivan Garcia Cortina Movistar Team s.t.
5 Daniel Skerl Bahrain - Victorious s.t.
Stage 3 Hilly
194 km ▲ 878 m
1 Jonathan Milan Lidl - Trek 4:11:51 -10″
2 Noah Hobbs EF Education - EasyPost s.t. -6″
3 Alessandro Romele XDS Astana Team s.t. -4″
4 Oded Kogut NSN Cycling Team s.t.
5 Daniel Skerl Bahrain - Victorious s.t.
Stage 4 Mountain
176 km ▲ 2,277 m
1 Bart Lemmen Team Visma | Lease a Bike 3:54:45 -10″
2 Christian Scaroni XDS Astana Team s.t. -6″
3 Axel Laurance Netcompany INEOS +14" -4″
4 Marco Brenner Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t.
5 Louis Barre Team Visma | Lease a Bike +16"
Stage 5 Mountain
219 km ▲ 1,977 m
1 Jan Christen UAE Team Emirates - XRG 4:53:32 -10″
2 Marco Brenner Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t. -6″
3 Louis Barre Team Visma | Lease a Bike +4" -4″
4 Axel Laurance Netcompany INEOS +5"
5 Paul Lapeira Decathlon CMA CGM Team s.t.
Stage 6 Mountain
126 km ▲ 2,794 m
1 Louis Barre Team Visma | Lease a Bike 3:09:03 -10″
2 Christian Scaroni XDS Astana Team +10" -6″
3 Marco Brenner Tudor Pro Cycling Team s.t. -4″
4 Fredrik Dversnes Lavik Uno-X Mobility s.t.
5 Axel Laurance Netcompany INEOS s.t.
Stage 7 ITT
13 km ▲ 179 m
1 Stefan Kung Tudor Pro Cycling Team 0:14:25
2 Finn Fisher-Black Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +4"
3 Callum Thornley Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe +4"
4 Ivan Romeo Movistar Team +5"
5 Magnus Sheffield Netcompany INEOS +8"

Prediction Accuracy

Market Predicted Actual Result
GC Winner Victor Langellotti (1%) Marco Brenner ✗ Wrong