Tour de Suisse
Finished
5 / 5 stages completed
Predictions
Stage Winner — Stage 5
Top 10 Probability
Model Reasoning
Tadej Pogacar is the slight favourite (17%) for this mountain stage. Key factors: elite climbing ability; top GC contender with proven ability on mountain finishes; and strong mountain stage record (80% top-5 rate). Main threats: Primoz Roglic (17%) — elite climbing ability; Matthew Brennan (15%) — limited climbing ability.
General Classification
| Pos | Rider | Team | Gap | GC Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tadej Pogacar | UAE Team Emirates - XRG | Leader | 46% |
| 2 | Richard Carapaz | EF Education - EasyPost | +6'32" | |
| 3 | Mathias Vacek | Lidl - Trek | +6'53" | |
| 4 | Tobias Foss | Soudal Quick-Step | +7'34" | 8% |
| 5 | Ilan Van Wilder | Netcompany INEOS | +7'51" | 10% |
| 6 | Brandon Mcnulty | UAE Team Emirates - XRG | +7'53" | 11% |
| 7 | Matthew Riccitello | Decathlon CMA CGM Team | +8'48" | 3% |
| 8 | Sergio Higuita | XDS Astana Team | +9'23" | 2% |
| 9 | Primoz Roglic | Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe | +9'26" | 5% |
| 10 | Bart Lemmen | Team Visma | Lease a Bike | +9'44" | |
| 11 | Wilco Kelderman | NSN Cycling Team | +9'59" | 7% |
| 12 | Enric Mas | Movistar Team | +11'16" | |
| 13 | Finlay Pickering | Team Jayco AlUla | +12'22" | 2% |
| 14 | Tiesj Benoot | Decathlon CMA CGM Team | +12'28" | 1% |
| 15 | Mattia Gaffuri | Team Picnic PostNL | +12'39" | |
| 16 | Felix Grossschartner | UAE Team Emirates - XRG | +13'27" | 1% |
| 17 | Simon Dalby | Uno-X Mobility | +14'14" | |
| 18 | Marc Hirschi | Tudor Pro Cycling Team | +16'48" | |
| 19 | Andrea Bagioli | Lidl - Trek | +17'25" | |
| 20 | Liam Slock | Lotto Intermarché | +18'22" |
Stages
Stage 1
Hilly
144 km
▲ 2 450 m
✓
1
Tadej Pogacar
UAE Team Emirates - XRG
3:28:51
-14″
2
Richard Carapaz
EF Education - EasyPost
+2'14"
-6″
3
Andrea Bagioli
Lidl - Trek
+2'29"
-4″
4
Ilan Van Wilder
Soudal Quick-Step
+4'02"
5
Mathias Vacek
Lidl - Trek
s.t.
Stage 2
Hilly
158 km
▲ 2 460 m
✓
1
Romain Gregoire
Groupama - FDJ United
3:26:25
-10″
2
Marcel Camprubi
Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team
s.t.
-8″
3
Bart Lemmen
Team Visma | Lease a Bike
s.t.
-4″
4
Filippo Zana
Soudal Quick-Step
s.t.
-3″
5
Finlay Pickering
Team Jayco AlUla
+2"
-1″
Stage 3
Hilly
157 km
▲ 2 320 m
✓
1
Jhonatan Narvaez
UAE Team Emirates - XRG
3:34:46
-15″
2
Xandro Meurisse
Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team
s.t.
-11″
3
Magnus Cort
Uno-X Mobility
s.t.
-4″
4
Marijn Van Den Berg
EF Education - EasyPost
s.t.
5
Mathieu Van Der Poel
Alpecin - Premier Tech
s.t.
Stage 4
ITT
24 km
▲ 202 m
✓
1
Tadej Pogacar
UAE Team Emirates - XRG
0:26:37
2
Mathieu Van Der Poel
Alpecin - Premier Tech
s.t.
3
Tobias Foss
Netcompany INEOS
+6"
4
Mathias Vacek
Lidl - Trek
+10"
5
Tim Wellens
UAE Team Emirates - XRG
+12"
Stage 5
Mountain
151 km
▲ 4 451 m
✓
1
Tadej Pogacar
UAE Team Emirates - XRG
4:12:24
-10″
2
Lenny Martinez
Bahrain - Victorious
+7"
-6″
3
Bart Lemmen
Team Visma | Lease a Bike
+1'33"
-4″
4
Jarno Widar
Lotto Intermarché
+1'53"
5
Matthew Riccitello
Decathlon CMA CGM Team
+1'55"
Prediction Accuracy
Market
Predicted
Actual
Result
GC Winner
Liam Slock (14%)
Tadej Pogacar
✗ Wrong