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Monaco Grand Prix

Round 6
Circuit de Monaco · Monte Carlo, Monaco · 3.337 km · 19 turns · street circuit
Sunday 7 June 2026
Finished

Predictions post-qualifying

Race Winner

ANT Kimi Antonelli
72.3%
RUS George Russell
8.8%
NOR Lando Norris
4.2%
HAM Lewis Hamilton
3.1%
LEC Charles Leclerc
1.9%
VER Max Verstappen
1.2%
GAS Pierre Gasly
0.3%
PIA Oscar Piastri
0.3%
BEA Oliver Bearman
0.2%
LAW Liam Lawson
0.2%
Model reasoning
Kimi Antonelli is a strong contender for the win (72% probability). Race simulation pace in practice was behind the leaders (7.10% off pace). Front-row start (P1) gives a significant advantage in clean air and track position. Inconsistent practice pace (σ=17.566s) raises concerns about tyre management.

Podium

ANT Kimi Antonelli
92.8%
RUS George Russell
66.3%
NOR Lando Norris
36.5%
HAM Lewis Hamilton
32.7%
LEC Charles Leclerc
18.2%
VER Max Verstappen
13.7%
PIA Oscar Piastri
3.2%
GAS Pierre Gasly
3.2%
BEA Oliver Bearman
2.4%
HAD Isack Hadjar
1.6%
Model reasoning
Kimi Antonelli faces challenges in this race. Race simulation pace in practice was behind the leaders (7.10% off pace). Front-row start (P1) gives a significant advantage in clean air and track position. Inconsistent practice pace (σ=17.566s) raises concerns about tyre management.

Top 6

ANT Kimi Antonelli
93.3%
RUS George Russell
92.4%
HAM Lewis Hamilton
84.2%
NOR Lando Norris
77.6%
LEC Charles Leclerc
66.5%
VER Max Verstappen
54.5%
PIA Oscar Piastri
16.4%
GAS Pierre Gasly
15.4%
BEA Oliver Bearman
11.4%
HAD Isack Hadjar
8.7%
Model reasoning
Kimi Antonelli faces challenges in this race. Race simulation pace in practice was behind the leaders (7.10% off pace). Front-row start (P1) gives a significant advantage in clean air and track position. Inconsistent practice pace (σ=17.566s) raises concerns about tyre management.

Prediction Accuracy

Race Winner ✓ Predicted: Kimi Antonelli (72%) — Actual: Kimi Antonelli
Podium ✓ Predicted: Kimi Antonelli (93%) — Actual: Kimi Antonelli
Top 6 ✓ Predicted: Kimi Antonelli (93%) — Actual: Kimi Antonelli

Free Practice 1

P Driver Team Best Lap Gap
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — —
FINISHED HAD Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — —
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — —

Free Practice 2

P Driver Team Best Lap Gap
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — —
FINISHED HAD Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — —
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — —

Free Practice 3

P Driver Team Best Lap Gap
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — —
FINISHED HAD Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — —
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — —

Qualifying

P Driver Team Q1 Q2 Q3
1 ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes 1:13.599 1:12.704 1:12.051
2 VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing 1:13.490 1:12.499 1:12.094
3 HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari 1:13.777 1:12.934 1:12.279
4 LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari 1:13.293 1:12.774 1:12.351
5 HAD Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing 1:14.408 1:12.722 1:12.434
6 RUS George Russell Mercedes 1:14.214 1:13.238 1:12.445
7 PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren 1:14.159 1:12.983 1:12.624
8 NOR Lando Norris McLaren 1:13.630 1:12.919 1:12.765
9 GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine 1:14.469 1:13.762 1:13.226
10 LAW Liam Lawson Racing Bulls 1:14.498 1:13.471 1:13.412
11 ALB Alexander Albon Williams 1:14.321 1:13.787 —
12 SAI Carlos Sainz Williams 1:14.348 1:13.815 —
13 HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi 1:13.923 1:13.902 —
14 COL Franco Colapinto Alpine 1:14.573 1:13.995 —
15 LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls 1:14.685 1:14.248 —
16 BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi 1:14.683 — —
17 OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team 1:14.722 — —
18 PER Sergio Perez Cadillac 1:14.747 — —
19 BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team 1:14.814 — —
20 BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac 1:15.283 — —
21 ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 1:15.349 — —
22 STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin 1:16.061 — —

Race

P Driver Team Grid Gap +/- Pts
1 ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes -1 Leader -2 25.0
2 HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari -1 +6.271s -3 18.0
3 HAD Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing -1 +23.394s -4 15.0
4 PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren -1 +24.261s -5 12.0
5 LAW Liam Lawson Racing Bulls -1 +26.553s -6 10.0
6 LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls -1 +29.010s -7 8.0
7 GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine -1 +30.369s -8 6.0
8 ALB Alexander Albon Williams -1 +33.413s -9 4.0
9 OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team -1 +37.140s -10 2.0
10 PER Sergio Perez Cadillac -1 +39.153s -11 1.0
11 ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin -1 +41.899s -12 —
12 BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi -1 +42.748s -13 —
13 RUS George Russell Mercedes -1 +43.353s -14 —
14 HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi -1 +44.102s -15 —
15 COL Franco Colapinto Alpine -1 +48.964s -16 —
16 SAI Carlos Sainz Williams -1 — -17 —
17 LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari -1 — -18 —
18 STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin -1 — -19 —
19 NOR Lando Norris McLaren -1 — -20 —
20 BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team -1 — -21 —
21 BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac -1 — -22 —
22 VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing -1 — -23 —

Race Pace Analysis (FP2/FP3)

Driver Compound Avg Lap Best Lap Gap % Laps Std Dev
HAD Isack Hadjar SOFT 1:21.047 1:13.877 Fastest 22 13.055
VER Max Verstappen SOFT 1:23.381 1:13.662 +2.88% 15 15.698
NOR Lando Norris SOFT 1:23.691 1:14.006 +3.26% 16 15.305
BOT Valtteri Bottas MEDIUM 1:24.140 1:17.111 +3.82% 7 7.735
BEA Oliver Bearman SOFT 1:24.594 1:14.456 +4.38% 28 11.358
LAW Liam Lawson SOFT 1:24.961 1:14.587 +4.83% 16 13.826
PIA Oscar Piastri SOFT 1:25.146 1:13.698 +5.06% 26 14.107
BOT Valtteri Bottas SOFT 1:25.453 1:15.451 +5.44% 26 12.881
HAM Lewis Hamilton SOFT 1:25.867 1:13.051 +5.95% 22 13.807
STR Lance Stroll SOFT 1:25.935 1:15.921 +6.03% 14 9.699
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto SOFT 1:26.046 1:13.820 +6.17% 19 14.678
LEC Charles Leclerc SOFT 1:26.245 1:13.047 +6.41% 24 16.709
ALO Fernando Alonso SOFT 1:26.453 1:15.567 +6.67% 18 15.096
OCO Esteban Ocon SOFT 1:26.526 1:14.278 +6.76% 18 15.753
ANT Kimi Antonelli SOFT 1:27.136 1:12.720 +7.51% 14 17.566
RUS George Russell SOFT 1:27.508 1:13.405 +7.97% 31 15.666
PER Sergio Perez SOFT 1:28.188 1:14.945 +8.81% 11 17.894
SAI Carlos Sainz SOFT 1:28.234 1:14.336 +8.87% 20 13.857
HUL Nico Hulkenberg SOFT 1:28.348 1:14.050 +9.01% 16 17.928
GAS Pierre Gasly SOFT 1:28.424 1:14.480 +9.10% 16 16.356

Pit Stops

Driver Stop Lap Duration Tyres
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 1 1 25.9s S → H
BOT Valtteri Bottas 1 1 26.8s S → M
BEA Oliver Bearman 1 1 32.0s M → H
ALO Fernando Alonso 1 3 25.1s M → S
PER Sergio Perez 1 4 27.1s S → M
STR Lance Stroll 1 4 24.9s M → S
OCO Esteban Ocon 1 9 25.4s M → H
PER Sergio Perez 2 9 19.8s M → M
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 1 12 24.8s M → H
BOT Valtteri Bottas 2 16 — M →
HAM Lewis Hamilton 1 28 24.1s M → H
BEA Oliver Bearman 2 28 — H →
RUS George Russell 1 31 24.0s M → H
HAD Isack Hadjar 1 32 24.9s M → H
COL Franco Colapinto 1 35 25.7s M → H
LEC Charles Leclerc 1 35 25.4s M → H
ANT Kimi Antonelli 1 37 24.1s M → H
ALB Alexander Albon 1 43 25.5s M → S
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 2 43 24.7s H → M
LAW Liam Lawson 1 44 25.8s M → S
NOR Lando Norris 1 44 — M →
GAS Pierre Gasly 1 45 25.6s M → H
PIA Oscar Piastri 1 48 24.1s M → H
SAI Carlos Sainz 1 52 25.7s M → S
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 2 58 20.5s H → H
ALO Fernando Alonso 2 58 26.8s S → S
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 3 58 20.1s M → M
LIN Arvid Lindblad 1 59 20.0s M → M
PIA Oscar Piastri 2 59 31.5s H → S
OCO Esteban Ocon 2 59 20.0s H → H
ALB Alexander Albon 2 59 19.7s S → S
COL Franco Colapinto 2 59 22.1s H → H
SAI Carlos Sainz 2 59 19.9s S → S
ALO Fernando Alonso 3 59 20.3s S → S
PER Sergio Perez 3 59 25.9s M → S
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 3 59 19.9s H → H
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 4 59 24.6s M → S
GAS Pierre Gasly 2 60 19.7s H → H
HAD Isack Hadjar 2 60 19.4s H → H
HAM Lewis Hamilton 2 60 31.2s H → S
LAW Liam Lawson 2 60 19.9s S → S
LEC Charles Leclerc 2 60 34.9s H → S
RUS George Russell 2 60 35.3s H → S
PIA Oscar Piastri 3 60 20.2s S → S
ANT Kimi Antonelli 2 61 27.0s H → S
HAM Lewis Hamilton 3 61 24.1s S → S
LEC Charles Leclerc 3 61 19.9s S → S
LIN Arvid Lindblad 2 65 22.7s M → M
OCO Esteban Ocon 3 65 21.4s H → H
COL Franco Colapinto 3 65 23.4s H → H
ALB Alexander Albon 3 65 22.7s S → S
SAI Carlos Sainz 3 65 22.1s S → S
ALO Fernando Alonso 4 65 24.1s S → S
PER Sergio Perez 4 65 23.8s S → S
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 4 65 22.3s H → H
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 5 65 22.7s S → S
ANT Kimi Antonelli 3 66 20.8s S → S
GAS Pierre Gasly 3 66 23.3s H → H
HAD Isack Hadjar 3 66 22.3s H → H
LAW Liam Lawson 3 66 20.3s S → S
RUS George Russell 3 66 22.6s S → S
PIA Oscar Piastri 4 66 23.5s S → S
HAM Lewis Hamilton 4 66 22.6s S → S
LIN Arvid Lindblad 3 67 2022.9s M → S
OCO Esteban Ocon 4 67 2026.0s H → S
COL Franco Colapinto 4 67 2025.7s H → S
ALB Alexander Albon 4 67 2024.1s S → S
SAI Carlos Sainz 4 67 2025.7s S → S
ALO Fernando Alonso 5 67 2024.7s S → S
PER Sergio Perez 5 67 2026.9s S → S
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 5 67 2027.0s H → S
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 6 67 2029.9s S → S
ANT Kimi Antonelli 4 68 2154.3s S → S
GAS Pierre Gasly 4 68 2151.5s H → S
HAD Isack Hadjar 4 68 2156.4s H → S
LAW Liam Lawson 4 68 2146.1s S → S
LIN Arvid Lindblad 4 68 62.7s S → S
RUS George Russell 4 68 2158.1s S → S
PIA Oscar Piastri 5 68 2151.6s S → S
OCO Esteban Ocon 5 68 62.6s S → S
HAM Lewis Hamilton 5 68 2156.1s S → S
COL Franco Colapinto 5 68 64.5s S → S
ALB Alexander Albon 5 68 62.1s S → S
SAI Carlos Sainz 5 68 61.8s S → S
ALO Fernando Alonso 6 68 65.0s S → S
PER Sergio Perez 6 68 66.0s S → S
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 6 68 61.9s S → S
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 7 68 64.0s S → S
RUS George Russell 5 72 20.2s S → S