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Spanish Grand Prix

Round 14
Madring Circuit · Madrid, Spain · 5.474 km · 22 turns · street circuit
Sunday 13 September 2026
Finished

Predictions post-qualifying

Race Winner

HAM Lewis Hamilton
15.4%
ANT Kimi Antonelli
14.4%
NOR Lando Norris
14.2%
VER Max Verstappen
13.4%
RUS George Russell
9.5%
PIA Oscar Piastri
5.7%
LEC Charles Leclerc
3.0%
GAS Pierre Gasly
2.7%
LAW Liam Lawson
2.3%
LIN Arvid Lindblad
1.7%
Model reasoning
Lewis Hamilton is a strong contender for the win (15% probability).

Podium

HAM Lewis Hamilton
43.0%
ANT Kimi Antonelli
41.1%
NOR Lando Norris
40.0%
VER Max Verstappen
38.4%
RUS George Russell
29.1%
PIA Oscar Piastri
18.2%
LEC Charles Leclerc
9.7%
GAS Pierre Gasly
9.3%
LAW Liam Lawson
7.4%
LIN Arvid Lindblad
5.8%
Model reasoning
Lewis Hamilton faces challenges in this race.

Top 6

HAM Lewis Hamilton
75.5%
ANT Kimi Antonelli
72.8%
NOR Lando Norris
69.0%
VER Max Verstappen
68.0%
RUS George Russell
59.7%
PIA Oscar Piastri
42.3%
LEC Charles Leclerc
24.1%
GAS Pierre Gasly
22.6%
LAW Liam Lawson
19.8%
LIN Arvid Lindblad
14.5%
Model reasoning
Lewis Hamilton faces challenges in this race.

Fastest Lap

STR Lance Stroll
39.4%
PER Sergio Perez
23.9%
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto
14.5%
COL Franco Colapinto
8.8%
SAI Carlos Sainz
5.3%
NOR Lando Norris
3.2%
VER Max Verstappen
2.0%
HUL Nico Hulkenberg
1.2%
ALO Fernando Alonso
0.7%
GAS Pierre Gasly
0.4%
Model reasoning
Fastest lap probability based on practice pace.

Prediction Accuracy

Race Winner ✗ Predicted: Lewis Hamilton (15%) — Actual: Kimi Antonelli
Podium ✗ Predicted: Lewis Hamilton (43%) — Actual: Kimi Antonelli
Top 6 ✗ Predicted: Lewis Hamilton (75%) — Actual: George Russell
Fastest Lap ✗ Predicted: Lance Stroll (39%) — Actual: George Russell

Free Practice 1

P Driver Team Best Lap Gap
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — —
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — —

Free Practice 2

P Driver Team Best Lap Gap
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — —
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — —

Free Practice 3

P Driver Team Best Lap Gap
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — —
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Red Bull Racing — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — —

Qualifying

P Driver Team Q1 Q2 Q3
FINISHED ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes — — —
FINISHED LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari — — —
FINISHED PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren — — —
FINISHED NOR Lando Norris McLaren — — —
FINISHED VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing — — —
FINISHED RUS George Russell Mercedes — — —
FINISHED LAW Liam Lawson Red Bull Racing — — —
FINISHED HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi — — —
FINISHED HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari — — —
FINISHED BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi — — —
FINISHED COL Franco Colapinto Alpine — — —
FINISHED OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team — — —
FINISHED BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team — — —
FINISHED LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls — — —
FINISHED GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine — — —
FINISHED ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin — — —
FINISHED SAI Carlos Sainz Williams — — —
FINISHED STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin — — —
FINISHED PER Sergio Perez Cadillac — — —
FINISHED BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac — — —
FINISHED ALB Alexander Albon Williams — — —

Race

P Driver Team Grid Gap +/- Pts
1 ANT Kimi Antonelli Mercedes 2 Leader +1 25.0
2 VER Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing 3 +4.351s +1 18.0
3 NOR Lando Norris McLaren 1 +5.089s -2 15.0
4 LEC Charles Leclerc Ferrari 5 +29.116s +1 12.0
5 RUS George Russell FL Mercedes 6 +29.829s +1 10.0
6 LAW Liam Lawson Red Bull Racing 8 +86.746s +2 8.0
7 COL Franco Colapinto Alpine 9 +94.281s +2 6.0
8 PIA Oscar Piastri McLaren 7 +95.839s -1 4.0
9 LIN Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls 10 +10.408s +1 2.0
10 HUL Nico Hulkenberg Audi 11 +11.298s +1 1.0
11 OCO Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team 13 +15.143s +2 —
12 GAS Pierre Gasly Alpine 14 +26.152s +2 —
13 BOR Gabriel Bortoleto Audi 12 +28.389s -1 —
15 ALB Alexander Albon Williams 16 +86.212s +1 —
16 BEA Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team 22 +89.963s +6 —
17 ALO Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 17 +33.776s 0 —
18 BOT Valtteri Bottas Cadillac 19 +49.246s +1 —
19 SAI Carlos Sainz Williams 20 — +1 —
20 PER Sergio Perez Cadillac 18 — -2 —
21 STR Lance Stroll Aston Martin 21 — 0 —
22 HAM Lewis Hamilton Ferrari 4 — -18 —

Race Pace Analysis (FP2/FP3)

Driver Compound Avg Lap Best Lap Gap % Laps Std Dev
BEA Oliver Bearman SOFT 1:34.818 1:34.481 Fastest 3 0.297
LIN Arvid Lindblad MEDIUM 1:35.262 1:35.038 +0.47% 4 0.292
HUL Nico Hulkenberg HARD 1:36.381 1:35.746 +1.65% 4 0.409
PER Sergio Perez SOFT 1:36.981 1:36.441 +2.28% 5 0.543
RUS George Russell MEDIUM 1:38.256 1:34.025 +3.63% 10 3.328
STR Lance Stroll SOFT 1:39.722 1:35.570 +5.17% 9 3.855
GAS Pierre Gasly MEDIUM 1:39.933 1:35.954 +5.40% 10 2.369
COL Franco Colapinto SOFT 1:40.045 1:34.346 +5.51% 6 10.058
OCO Esteban Ocon SOFT 1:41.132 1:34.430 +6.66% 11 7.094
VER Max Verstappen SOFT 1:41.205 1:33.172 +6.74% 11 9.289
COL Franco Colapinto MEDIUM 1:43.061 1:36.142 +8.69% 11 6.559
SAI Carlos Sainz MEDIUM 1:43.072 1:36.868 +8.71% 8 6.800
HAM Lewis Hamilton MEDIUM 1:43.081 1:34.825 +8.72% 10 13.176
LAW Liam Lawson SOFT 1:43.290 1:33.902 +8.94% 5 16.441
HUL Nico Hulkenberg SOFT 1:43.421 1:33.933 +9.07% 7 11.707
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto SOFT 1:43.638 1:34.288 +9.30% 4 15.538
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto MEDIUM 1:43.721 1:35.513 +9.39% 13 14.074
VER Max Verstappen MEDIUM 1:43.963 1:34.378 +9.65% 4 15.228
NOR Lando Norris SOFT 1:44.448 1:33.033 +10.16% 6 12.141
ALB Alexander Albon MEDIUM 1:44.712 1:37.627 +10.44% 11 11.751

Pit Stops

Driver Stop Lap Duration Tyres
HAM Lewis Hamilton 1 6 — S →
HUL Nico Hulkenberg 1 14 31.2s S → H
COL Franco Colapinto 1 14 31.8s M → H
LIN Arvid Lindblad 1 14 31.9s M → H
ANT Kimi Antonelli 1 14 31.8s M → H
ALB Alexander Albon 1 14 31.3s M → H
ALO Fernando Alonso 1 14 43.7s H → S
OCO Esteban Ocon 1 14 32.1s M → H
PER Sergio Perez 1 14 32.1s M → H
RUS George Russell 1 14 30.8s H → M
VER Max Verstappen 1 14 31.1s S → H
NOR Lando Norris 1 15 35.0s M → H
SAI Carlos Sainz 1 23 46.3s H → M
RUS George Russell 2 28 30.7s M → H
BOT Valtteri Bottas 1 29 31.7s H → H
SAI Carlos Sainz 2 31 31.2s M → H
PER Sergio Perez 2 31 — H →
BEA Oliver Bearman 1 33 33.4s H → M
ALO Fernando Alonso 2 37 31.9s S → H
PIA Oscar Piastri 1 42 31.4s H → M
BOT Valtteri Bottas 2 43 31.7s H → S
BEA Oliver Bearman 2 43 31.6s M → H
SAI Carlos Sainz 3 43 — H →
LAW Liam Lawson 1 44 31.0s H → M
BOR Gabriel Bortoleto 1 47 30.8s H → S
LEC Charles Leclerc 1 48 31.2s H → S
GAS Pierre Gasly 1 55 31.4s H → S