Alaves favoured (48%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Alaves (1.8 vs 1.4). • Playing at home is a factor in Alaves's favour. • Alaves have been in good form recently, with 3 wins in their last 5. • Alaves are without key midfielder Mikel Rodriguez (Cruciate ligament tear). • Alaves have had a long break of 238 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.