La Liga
— Matchday 4
Alaves
5 – 2
Osasuna
1X2
Alaves
40.5%
Draw
29.4%
Osasuna
30.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
BTTS
Both Score
53.9%
No
46.1%
Model Reasoning
Alaves favoured (40%)
Key factors:
• Playing at home is a factor in Alaves's favour.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Alaves (1.4 vs 1.2).
• Alaves are set up in a 4-4-2.
• Osasuna are confirmed in a 4-4-2 formation.
• Alaves are without key midfielder Mikel Rodriguez (Cruciate ligament tear).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Alaves
W
L
L
D
L
Osasuna
L
L
L
D
L
Squad News
Alaves
- Injured Facundo Garcés Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
Osasuna
- Injured Aimar Oroz ★ Midfielder · Torn thigh muscle
- Injured Romain Del Castillo ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jorge Herrando Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Raúl Moro Attacker · Torn thigh muscle
Confirmed Lineups
Alaves
3-5-2 flat
- Ángel Pérez
- Antonio Blanco
- Ville Koski
- Nahuel Tenaglia
- Antonio Sivera
- Pablo Ibáñez
- Aitor Mañas
- Denis Suárez
- Youssef Enríquez
- #27
- Miguel Rodríguez
Substitutes
- Carlos Protesoni
- #29
- Selu Diallo
- Hugo Novoa
- Adrián Rodríguez
- Ander Guevara
- Nicolás Valentini
Osasuna
4-4-2
- Iker Muñoz
- Moi Gómez
- Enzo Boyomo
- Iñigo Arguibide
- Ante Budimir
- Rubén García
- Sergio Herrera
- Alejandro Catena
- Abel Bretones
- Raúl García
- Jon Moncayola
Substitutes
- Aitor Fernández
- Jonathan Dubasin
- Kike Barja
- Romain Del Castillo
- #26
- #35
- Raúl Moro
Season Stats
8
Played
8
11
Points
8
12
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
18
+4
Goal Diff
-10
3
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Alaves
Draws
Osasuna
Last meeting (5 Apr 2026): 2-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (40%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (52%)
Over
✗
BTTS
Yes (54%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
2
HT Score
0