La Liga
— Matchday 37
Alaves
vs
Real Madrid
1X2
Alaves
30.5%
Draw
25.1%
Real Madrid
44.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.6%
Under 2.5
36.4%
BTTS
Both Score
65.6%
No
34.5%
Model Reasoning
Real Madrid favoured (44%)
Key factors:
• Real Madrid are missing key defender Éder Militão (Muscle injury).
• Real Madrid boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Alaves (1.5 vs 1.8).
• Real Madrid are reasonably well-organized at the back.
• Real Madrid arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 4 of their last 5.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Alaves
W
D
W
W
L
Real Madrid
W
W
L
W
W
Squad News
Alaves
- Injured Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
Real Madrid
- Injured Éder Militão ★ Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Raúl Asencio ★ Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Rodrygo ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Ferland Mendy Defender · Tendon rupture
Season Stats
5
Played
5
10
Points
12
11
Goals Scored
15
5
Goals Conceded
4
+6
Goal Diff
+11
2
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Alaves
Draws
Real Madrid
Last meeting (14 Dec 2025): 1-2