Alaves favoured (61%) Key factors: • The model expects Alaves to create significantly more chances (2.0 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Valencia are missing key attacker Diego López (Cruciate ligament tear). • Playing at home is a factor in Alaves's favour. • Valencia have been struggling, losing 3 of their last 5 games. • Alaves have been in good form recently, with 3 wins in their last 5. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.