La Liga
— Matchday 3
Alaves
1 – 0
Villarreal
1X2
Alaves
33.3%
Draw
23.9%
Villarreal
42.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.6%
Under 2.5
30.4%
BTTS
Both Score
70.3%
No
29.7%
Model Reasoning
Villarreal favoured (43%)
Key factors:
• Villarreal boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Playing at home is a factor in Alaves's favour.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Alaves (1.7 vs 1.9).
• Alaves are set up in a 5-3-2.
• Villarreal are confirmed in a 4-4-2 formation.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Alaves
W
W
L
L
D
Villarreal
L
L
L
W
W
Squad News
Alaves
- Injured Abde Rebbach Attacker · Thigh problems
- Injured Facundo Garcés Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
Villarreal
No known absences
Confirmed Lineups
Alaves
5-3-2
- Toni Martínez
- Abde Rebbach
- Ángel Pérez
- Antonio Blanco
- Ville Koski
- Jonny Otto
- Mikel Rodriguez
- Lucas Boyé
- Nahuel Tenaglia
- Antonio Sivera
- Pablo Ibáñez
Substitutes
- Carlos Protesoni
- Denis Suárez
- #27
- Youssef Enríquez
- Hugo Novoa
- Miguel Rodríguez
- Adrián Rodríguez
Villarreal
4-4-2
- Gerard Moreno
- Nicolas Pépé
- Carlos Romero
- Juan Foyth
- Luiz Júnior
- Georges Mikautadze
- Tajon Buchanan
- Santiago Mouriño
- Santi Comesaña
- Renato Veiga
- Pape Gueye
Substitutes
- Alberto Moleiro
- Tani Oluwaseyi
- Péter Gulácsi
- Sergi Cardona
- Logan Costa
- Alex Freeman
- Ilias Akhomach
Season Stats
7
Played
7
11
Points
8
11
Goals Scored
13
6
Goals Conceded
12
+5
Goal Diff
+1
3
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Alaves
Draws
Villarreal
Last meeting (13 Mar 2026): 1-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (43%)
1
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Over (70%)
Under
✗
BTTS
Yes (70%)
No
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
0