La Liga
— Matchday 3
Alaves
vs
Villarreal
1X2
Alaves
32.9%
Draw
24.6%
Villarreal
42.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.4%
Under 2.5
33.6%
BTTS
Both Score
68%
No
32.1%
Model Reasoning
Villarreal favoured (42%)
Key factors:
• Villarreal boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Playing at home is a factor in Alaves's favour.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Alaves (1.6 vs 1.8).
• Villarreal return from a 12-day absence and could be ring-rusty.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Alaves
W
L
L
W
D
Villarreal
L
L
W
W
D
Season Stats
2
Played
1
4
Points
1
4
Goals Scored
2
1
Goals Conceded
2
+3
Goal Diff
+0
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Alaves
Draws
Villarreal
Last meeting (13 Mar 2026): 1-1