Liga Portugal
— Matchday 2
Alverca
2 – 2
Estrela
1X2
Alverca
43.4%
Draw
29.9%
Estrela
26.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
Both Score
50.2%
No
49.8%
Model Reasoning
Alverca favoured (43%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Alverca (1.4 vs 1.0).
• Playing at home is a factor in Alverca's favour.
• Alverca's attack has been below average.
• Estrela have been defensively average.
• Alverca are set up in a 3-4-2-1.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Alverca
L
D
L
W
W
Estrela
W
D
W
D
L
Squad News
Alverca
No known absences
Estrela
- Injured Jeremy Arévalo ★ Attacker · Back problems
Confirmed Lineups
Alverca
3-4-2-1
- Matheus Mendes
- Yaya Bojang
- Steven Baseya
- Bastien Meupiyou
- Davy Gui
- Ian Luccas
- Nabil Touaizi
- Isaac James
- Chiquinho
- Figueiredo
- Vivaldo Semedo
Substitutes
- #35
- #30
- Marco Essimi
- Samy Jr. Merheg
- Chissumba
- #15
- Toni Tamarit
Estrela
4-2-3-1
- Abraham Marcus
- Luan Patrick
- Léo Linck
- Robinho
- Lovro Zvonarek
- Leandro Antonetti
- Eddy Doué
- Jefferson Encada
- Stefan Lekovic
- Rafa Soares
- Ianis Stoica
Substitutes
- Lucas Mincarelli
- Bernardo Schappo
- Santiago Serra
- Alisson Souza
- Diogo Pinto
- David Grilo
- Bénito
Season Stats
7
Played
7
8
Points
10
9
Goals Scored
14
11
Goals Conceded
14
-2
Goal Diff
+0
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Alverca
Draws
Estrela
Last meeting (31 Jan 2026): 1-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (43%)
X
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (56%)
Over
✗
BTTS
Yes (50%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0