Alverca favoured (45%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Alverca (1.4 vs 1.0). • Playing at home is a factor in Alverca's favour. • Estrela are badly out of form, managing just 0 win(s) in their last 5. • Alverca's attack has been below average. • Estrela have been defensively average. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.