Liga Portugal
— Matchday 9
Alverca
0 – 1
Arouca
1X2
Alverca
32.9%
Draw
28.4%
Arouca
38.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
BTTS
Both Score
53.6%
No
46.4%
Model Reasoning
Arouca favoured (39%)
Key factors:
• Playing at home is a factor in Alverca's favour.
• Alverca have been in good form recently, with 3 wins in their last 5.
• Alverca are without key defender Julián Martínez (Meniscus tear).
• Both sides are expected to create similar chances (~1.2 xG each).
• Alverca have had a long break of 11 days and may take time to find their rhythm.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Alverca
L
W
W
W
L
Arouca
D
L
D
W
W
Squad News
Alverca
- Injured Julián Martínez Defender · Meniscus tear
- Injured Sabit Abdulai Midfielder · Knee injury
Arouca
No known absences
Season Stats
9
Played
9
11
Points
17
13
Goals Scored
12
13
Goals Conceded
7
+0
Goal Diff
+5
1
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
1 match played
Alverca
Draws
Arouca
Last meeting (24 Apr 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Arouca (39%)
Arouca
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (52%)
Under 2.5
✓
BTTS
Both Score (54%)
No
✗
Match Statistics
0.48
xG
2.04
0
HT Score
1