Liga Portugal
— Matchday 11
Alverca
vs
Casa Pia
1X2
Alverca
50.2%
Draw
25.9%
Casa Pia
23.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
BTTS
Both Score
51.4%
No
48.6%
Double Chance
Alverca or Draw
76.1%
Alverca or Casa Pia
74.1%
Draw or Casa Pia
49.8%
Draw No Bet
Alverca
67.8%
Casa Pia
32.2%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Alverca scores
79.7%
Alverca fails to score
20.3%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Alverca 2+ goals
47.3%
Alverca 0-1 goals
52.7%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Casa Pia scores
64%
Casa Pia fails to score
36%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.7%
Half-Time Result
Alverca at HT
36.7%
Draw at HT
42.8%
Casa Pia at HT
20.5%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
68.4%
No 1st half goal
31.6%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
32.7%
1st half Under 1.5
67.3%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Alverca / Alverca
30.3%
Draw / Alverca
17.4%
Draw / Draw
16.2%
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
13.1%
Draw / Casa Pia
9.4%
Alverca / Draw
4.9%
Casa Pia / Draw
4.8%
Casa Pia / Alverca
2.5%
Alverca / Casa Pia
1.4%
Model Reasoning
Alverca favoured (50%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Alverca to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 1.0 xG).
• Playing at home is a factor in Alverca's favour.
• Casa Pia's attacking numbers are underwhelming.
• Alverca are without key defender Julián Martínez (Meniscus tear).
• Casa Pia are missing key goalkeeper André Gomes (Muscle injury).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Alverca
L
W
W
W
L
Casa Pia
D
L
W
L
W
Squad News
Alverca
- Injured Julián Martínez Defender · Meniscus tear
- Injured Sabit Abdulai Midfielder · Knee injury
Casa Pia
- Injured André Gomes Goalkeeper · Muscle injury
Season Stats
9
Played
9
11
Points
7
13
Goals Scored
5
13
Goals Conceded
17
+0
Goal Diff
-12
1
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Alverca
Draws
Casa Pia
Last meeting (12 Apr 2026): 3-1