Sp Braga favoured (47%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Estrela (1.5 vs 1.9). • Estrela are without key attacker Jeremy Arévalo (Back problems). • Sp Braga are missing key defender Bright Arrey-Mbi (unknown injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Estrela's favour. • Sp Braga carry a decent goal threat. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.