Estrela favoured (48%) Key factors: • The model expects Estrela to create significantly more chances (1.4 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Estrela are without key attacker Jeremy Arévalo (Back problems). • Casa Pia have been toothless in front of goal lately. • Playing at home is a factor in Estrela's favour. • Estrela's defense has been below par. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.