Liga Portugal
— Matchday 11
Estrela
vs
Benfica
1X2
Estrela
9.9%
Draw
18.4%
Benfica
71.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
BTTS
Both Score
44.6%
No
55.4%
Double Chance
Estrela or Draw
28.3%
Estrela or Benfica
81.7%
Draw or Benfica
90.1%
Draw No Bet
Estrela
12.2%
Benfica
87.9%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Estrela scores
49.8%
Estrela fails to score
50.2%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Estrela 2+ goals
15.2%
Estrela 0-1 goals
84.8%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Benfica scores
88.9%
Benfica fails to score
11.1%
Correct Score
0-2
13.5%
0-1
12%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
Half-Time Result
Estrela at HT
11.1%
Draw at HT
37.1%
Benfica at HT
51.8%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
72.1%
No 1st half goal
27.9%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
37.1%
1st half Under 1.5
62.9%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Benfica / Benfica
47.7%
Draw / Benfica
21.4%
Draw / Draw
11.7%
Estrela / Estrela
5.1%
Draw / Estrela
4.2%
Benfica / Draw
3.4%
Estrela / Draw
3.3%
Estrela / Benfica
2.7%
Benfica / Estrela
0.6%
Model Reasoning
Benfica favoured (72%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Estrela to create significantly more chances (0.7 xG vs 2.2 xG).
• Benfica boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Benfica are very hard to break down.
• Estrela are without key attacker Jeremy Arévalo (Back problems).
• Benfica are missing key attacker Jakub Kamiński (Muscle injury).
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Estrela
W
D
L
L
L
Benfica
W
W
L
W
W
Squad News
Estrela
- Injured Jeremy Arévalo ★ Attacker · Back problems
Benfica
- Injured Jakub Kamiński ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
Season Stats
9
Played
9
10
Points
22
14
Goals Scored
26
17
Goals Conceded
8
-3
Goal Diff
+18
0
Clean Sheets
4
Head to Head
3 matches played
Estrela
Draws
Benfica
Last meeting (16 Aug 2025): 0-1