Liga Portugal
— Matchday 1
Estrela
2 – 2
Sp Lisbon
1X2
Estrela
11.9%
Draw
19.3%
Sp Lisbon
68.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.6%
Under 2.5
36.4%
BTTS
Both Score
55.1%
No
44.9%
Model Reasoning
Sp Lisbon favoured (69%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Estrela to create significantly more chances (0.9 xG vs 2.4 xG).
• Sp Lisbon boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Sp Lisbon are missing key midfielder João Simões (Metatarsal fracture).
• Sp Lisbon are very hard to break down.
• Playing at home is a factor in Estrela's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Estrela
D
W
D
W
D
Sp Lisbon
W
W
W
W
D
Squad News
Estrela
- Injured Jeremy Arévalo ★ Attacker · Back problems
Sp Lisbon
- Injured João Simões ★ Midfielder · Foot injury
- Injured Salvador Blopa Defender · Muscle injury
Season Stats
6
Played
6
10
Points
14
14
Goals Scored
15
12
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Diff
+9
0
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Estrela
Draws
Sp Lisbon
Last meeting (11 Apr 2026): 0-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (69%)
X
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Over (64%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (55%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0