Liga Portugal
— Matchday 1
Estrela
vs
Sp Lisbon
1X2
Estrela
11.8%
Draw
19.3%
Sp Lisbon
68.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
BTTS
Both Score
54.9%
No
45.1%
Model Reasoning
Sp Lisbon favoured (69%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Estrela to create significantly more chances (0.9 xG vs 2.4 xG).
• Sp Lisbon boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Sp Lisbon are missing key midfielder João Simões (Metatarsal fracture).
• Sp Lisbon are very hard to break down.
• Playing at home is a factor in Estrela's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Estrela
L
L
L
D
D
Sp Lisbon
D
D
W
W
W
Squad News
Estrela
- Suspended Luan Patrick Suspension
Sp Lisbon
- Injured João Simões ★ Midfielder · Metatarsal fracture
- Injured Salvador Blopa Defender · Muscle injury
- Suspended Morten Hjulmand Suspension
Season Stats
0
Played
0
0
Points
0
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
+0
Goal Diff
+0
0
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Estrela
Draws
Sp Lisbon
Last meeting (11 Apr 2026): 0-1