Arouca favoured (51%) Key factors: • The model expects Arouca to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 1.0 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in Arouca's favour. • Gil Vicente are missing key midfielder Mohamed Bamba (unknown injury). • Arouca have had a long break of 231 days and may take time to find their rhythm. • Gil Vicente return from a 231-day absence and could be ring-rusty. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.