Arouca favoured (47%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Arouca (1.7 vs 1.2). • Maritimo arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 2 of their last 2. • Arouca are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. • Playing at home is a factor in Arouca's favour. • Arouca have had a long break of 12 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.