Arouca favoured (60%) Key factors: • The model expects Arouca to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Moreirense's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Playing at home is a factor in Arouca's favour. • Moreirense are without 4 player(s): Vasco Sousa, Dinis Pinto, Alan. • Arouca have been in good form recently, with 3 wins in their last 5. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.