Arouca favoured (53%) Key factors: • The model expects Arouca to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in Arouca's favour. • Arouca are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. • Santa Clara's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Santa Clara are missing key defender MT (Cruciate ligament tear). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.