Arouca favoured (50%) Key factors: • The model expects Arouca to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 1.0 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in Arouca's favour. • Santa Clara arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5. • Arouca have been in good form recently, with 3 wins in their last 5. • Santa Clara are reasonably well-organized at the back. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.