Premier League
— Matchday 38
Arsenal
vs
Brighton
1X2
Arsenal
49.4%
Draw
30.2%
Brighton
20.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
63.1%
BTTS
Both Score
42.2%
No
57.8%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (49%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (1.4 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Arsenal are without key attacker Christos Tzolis (Thigh problems).
• Brighton are missing key attacker Evan Ferguson (Ankle injury).
• Arsenal have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Arsenal have a solid attacking output.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
W
Brighton
W
W
W
W
L
Squad News
Arsenal
- Injured Christos Tzolis ★ Attacker · Thigh problems
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Brighton
- Injured Evan Ferguson ★ Attacker · Ankle injury
- Injured Femi Azeez ★ Attacker · Fitness
- Injured Ferdi Kadıoğlu ★ Defender · Hip injury
- Injured Kaoru Mitoma ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Stefanos Tzimas ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Zadok Yohanna ★ Attacker · Fitness
Season Stats
8
Played
8
21
Points
16
13
Goals Scored
23
5
Goals Conceded
7
+8
Goal Diff
+16
5
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
1 match played
Arsenal
Draws
Brighton
Last meeting (27 Dec 2025): 2-1