Premier League
— Matchday 38
Arsenal
vs
Brighton
1X2
Arsenal
70.3%
Draw
20.5%
Brighton
9.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
BTTS
Both Score
43.3%
No
56.8%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (70%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (2.1 xG vs 0.7 xG).
• Arsenal are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.
• Arsenal are without key defender Cristhian Mosquera (Hamstring injury).
• Brighton are missing key attacker Evan Ferguson (Ankle problems).
• Arsenal have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
W
W
Brighton
L
W
L
D
W
Squad News
Arsenal
- Injured Cristhian Mosquera ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jurriën Timber ★ Defender · Groin injury
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Brighton
- Injured Evan Ferguson ★ Attacker · Ankle problems
- Injured Georginio Rutter ★ Attacker · Foot injury
- Injured Jack Hinshelwood ★ Midfielder · unknown injury
- Injured Kaoru Mitoma ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Mats Wieffer ★ Defender · Knee injury
- Injured Stefanos Tzimas ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Yankuba Minteh ★ Attacker · Foot injury
Season Stats
4
Played
4
12
Points
7
8
Goals Scored
13
1
Goals Conceded
5
+7
Goal Diff
+8
3
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Arsenal
Draws
Brighton
Last meeting (27 Dec 2025): 2-1