Home / Football / Premier League / Arsenal vs Chelsea
Premier League — Matchday 3
Arsenal
2 – 1
Chelsea FC
Full Time
1X2
72.2%
16.4%
Arsenal 72.2%
Draw 16.4%
Chelsea FC 11.4%
Over/Under 2.5
75.7%
24.3%
Over 2.5 75.7%
Under 2.5 24.3%
BTTS
64.2%
35.8%
Both Score 64.2%
No 35.8%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (72%) Key factors: • The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (2.9 xG vs 1.1 xG). • Arsenal are without key defender Jurriën Timber (Groin injury). • Chelsea FC are missing key defender Marco Palestra (unknown injury). • Arsenal have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best. • Arsenal have one of the tightest defenses in the league. Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Arsenal
W W L W W
Chelsea FC
W L D L W
Squad News
Arsenal
  • Injured Christos Tzolis ★ Attacker · Thigh problems
  • Injured Kai Havertz ★ Attacker · Thigh problems
  • Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Chelsea FC
  • Injured Emmanuel Emegha ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
  • Injured Jamie Gittens ★ Attacker · Ankle injury
  • Injured Reece James ★ Defender · Knock
Confirmed Lineups
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
  1. David Raya
  2. Gabriel
  3. Ezri Konsa
  4. Riccardo Calafiori
  5. Ben White
  6. Declan Rice
  7. Myles Lewis-Skelly
  8. Bukayo Saka
  9. Christos Tzolis
  10. Martin Ødegaard
  11. Kai Havertz
Substitutes
  • Piero Hincapié
  • Eberechi Eze
  • Max Dowman
  • Kepa Arrizabalaga
  • Bruno Guimarães
  • Viktor Gyökeres
  • Martín Zubimendi
Chelsea FC
3-4-2-1
  1. Emiliano Martínez
  2. Maxence Lacroix
  3. Wesley Fofana
  4. Josh Acheampong
  5. Reece James
  6. Roméo Lavia
  7. Pedro Neto
  8. Jorrel Hato
  9. Morgan Rogers
  10. Cole Palmer
  11. João Pedro
Substitutes
  • Valentín Barco
  • Mike Penders
  • Levi Colwill
  • Estêvão
  • Malo Gusto
  • Geovany Quenda
  • Pep Chavarría
Season Stats
6
Played
6
15
Points
10
10
Goals Scored
15
5
Goals Conceded
13
+5
Goal Diff
+2
3
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
1
0
0
Arsenal Draws Chelsea FC
Last meeting (1 Mar 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2 1 (72%) 1 ✓
Over/Under 2.5 Over (76%) Over ✓
BTTS Yes (64%) Yes ✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1