Premier League
— Matchday 3
Arsenal
2 – 1
Chelsea FC
1X2
Arsenal
72.2%
Draw
16.4%
Chelsea FC
11.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.7%
Under 2.5
24.3%
BTTS
Both Score
64.2%
No
35.8%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (72%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (2.9 xG vs 1.1 xG).
• Arsenal are without key defender Jurriën Timber (Groin injury).
• Chelsea FC are missing key defender Marco Palestra (unknown injury).
• Arsenal have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Arsenal have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
L
W
W
Chelsea FC
W
L
D
L
W
Squad News
Arsenal
- Injured Christos Tzolis ★ Attacker · Thigh problems
- Injured Kai Havertz ★ Attacker · Thigh problems
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Chelsea FC
- Injured Emmanuel Emegha ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jamie Gittens ★ Attacker · Ankle injury
- Injured Reece James ★ Defender · Knock
Confirmed Lineups
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
- David Raya
- Gabriel
- Ezri Konsa
- Riccardo Calafiori
- Ben White
- Declan Rice
- Myles Lewis-Skelly
- Bukayo Saka
- Christos Tzolis
- Martin Ødegaard
- Kai Havertz
Substitutes
- Piero Hincapié
- Eberechi Eze
- Max Dowman
- Kepa Arrizabalaga
- Bruno Guimarães
- Viktor Gyökeres
- Martín Zubimendi
Chelsea FC
3-4-2-1
- Emiliano Martínez
- Maxence Lacroix
- Wesley Fofana
- Josh Acheampong
- Reece James
- Roméo Lavia
- Pedro Neto
- Jorrel Hato
- Morgan Rogers
- Cole Palmer
- João Pedro
Substitutes
- Valentín Barco
- Mike Penders
- Levi Colwill
- Estêvão
- Malo Gusto
- Geovany Quenda
- Pep Chavarría
Season Stats
6
Played
6
15
Points
10
10
Goals Scored
15
5
Goals Conceded
13
+5
Goal Diff
+2
3
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Arsenal
Draws
Chelsea FC
Last meeting (1 Mar 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (72%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (76%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (64%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1