Premier League
— Matchday 3
Arsenal
vs
Chelsea FC
1X2
Arsenal
74.6%
Draw
16.4%
Chelsea FC
9.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.1%
Under 2.5
30.9%
BTTS
Both Score
55.5%
No
44.5%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (75%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (2.7 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Arsenal are without key midfielder Bruno Guimarães (Hamstring injury).
• Chelsea FC are missing key defender Aarón Anselmino (Hamstring injury).
• Arsenal have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Arsenal are defensively solid.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
L
W
Chelsea FC
W
W
L
L
W
Squad News
Arsenal
- Injured Bruno Guimarães ★ Midfielder · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jurriën Timber ★ Defender · Groin injury
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Chelsea FC
- Injured Aarón Anselmino ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Emmanuel Emegha ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Marco Palestra ★ Defender · unknown injury
- Injured Moisés Caicedo ★ Midfielder · Knock
- Suspended Wesley Fofana Suspension
Season Stats
1
Played
1
3
Points
3
3
Goals Scored
3
0
Goals Conceded
2
+3
Goal Diff
+1
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Arsenal
Draws
Chelsea FC
Last meeting (1 Mar 2026): 2-1