Premier League
— Matchday 8
Arsenal
2 – 0
Everton
1X2
Arsenal
56.9%
Draw
25.9%
Everton
17.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
BTTS
Both Score
46.4%
No
53.6%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (57%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (1.7 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Arsenal are without key attacker Christos Tzolis (Thigh problems).
• Arsenal have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Arsenal have a solid attacking output.
• Playing at home is a factor in Arsenal's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
W
Everton
D
W
D
L
L
Squad News
Arsenal
- Injured Christos Tzolis ★ Attacker · Thigh problems
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Everton
No known absences
Confirmed Lineups
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
- David Raya
- Gabriel
- Ezri Konsa
- Myles Lewis-Skelly
- Ben White
- Declan Rice
- Mikel Merino
- Noni Madueke
- Eberechi Eze
- Martin Ødegaard
- Viktor Gyökeres
Substitutes
- Piero Hincapié
- Max Dowman
- Kepa Arrizabalaga
- Cristhian Mosquera
- Bruno Guimarães
- Martín Zubimendi
- Jurriën Timber
Everton
4-2-3-1
- Jordan Pickford
- Jake O'Brien
- James Tarkowski
- Vitaliy Mykolenko
- Merlin Röhl
- James Garner
- Harrison Armstrong
- Brennan Johnson
- Tyrique George
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
- Thierno Barry
Substitutes
- Mark Travers
- Charly Alcaraz
- Braiden Graham
- Tyler Dibling
- Tom King
- Hayden Hackney
- Michael Keane
Season Stats
8
Played
8
21
Points
10
13
Goals Scored
8
5
Goals Conceded
9
+8
Goal Diff
-1
5
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
1 match played
Arsenal
Draws
Everton
Last meeting (14 Mar 2026): 2-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Arsenal (57%)
Arsenal
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (54%)
Under 2.5
✓
BTTS
No (54%)
No
✓
Match Statistics
2.28
xG
0.72
1
HT Score
0