Arsenal favoured (50%) Key factors: • The model expects Arsenal to create significantly more chances (1.3 xG vs 0.7 xG). • Arsenal are without key attacker Christos Tzolis (Thigh problems). • Lille are missing key attacker Ethan Mbappé (Ankle injury). • Arsenal have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Lille are reasonably well-organized at the back. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.