Arsenal favoured (49%) Key factors: • The model expects Aston Villa to create significantly more chances (1.2 xG vs 1.7 xG). • Aston Villa are without key midfielder Amadou Onana (Cruciate ligament tear). • Arsenal are missing key midfielder Bruno Guimarães (Hamstring injury). • Arsenal boast one of the strongest attacks in the league. • Arsenal are reasonably well-organized at the back. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.