Premier League
— Matchday 2
Aston Villa
vs
Arsenal
1X2
Aston Villa
27.7%
Draw
24.9%
Arsenal
47.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.1%
Under 2.5
35.9%
BTTS
Both Score
65.5%
No
34.5%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (47%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Aston Villa (1.4 vs 1.9).
• Aston Villa are without key midfielder Amadou Onana (Cruciate ligament tear).
• Arsenal are missing key defender Jurriën Timber (Groin injury).
• Arsenal boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Arsenal are reasonably well-organized at the back.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Aston Villa
D
W
W
W
L
Arsenal
W
W
W
L
W
Squad News
Aston Villa
- Injured Amadou Onana ★ Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Johan Manzambi ★ Midfielder · Knee bruise
Arsenal
- Injured Jurriën Timber ★ Defender · Groin injury
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Season Stats
1
Played
1
0
Points
3
0
Goals Scored
3
4
Goals Conceded
0
-4
Goal Diff
+3
0
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Aston Villa
Draws
Arsenal
Last meeting (6 Dec 2025): 2-1