Aston Villa favoured (47%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Aston Villa (1.6 vs 1.2). • Aston Villa are without key midfielder Amadou Onana (Cruciate ligament tear). • Newcastle are missing key midfielder Joelinton (unknown injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Aston Villa's favour. • Aston Villa have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 5 matches. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.