Atalanta favoured (51%) Key factors: • The model expects Atalanta to create significantly more chances (1.3 xG vs 0.6 xG). • Atalanta are without key defender Isak Hien (Thigh problems). • Lecce are missing key attacker Willem Geubbels (Ankle sprain). • Atalanta have one of the tightest defenses in the league. • Lecce's attacking numbers are underwhelming. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.