La Liga
— Matchday 4
Ath Bilbao
3 – 0
Ath Madrid
1X2
Ath Bilbao
31.5%
Draw
24.7%
Ath Madrid
43.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
BTTS
Both Score
62.5%
No
37.5%
Model Reasoning
Ath Madrid favoured (44%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Ath Bilbao (1.4 vs 1.7).
• Ath Bilbao are in poor form, with only 1 win(s) from their last 5 matches.
• Playing at home is a factor in Ath Bilbao's favour.
• Ath Bilbao's defense has been below par.
• Ath Bilbao are set up in a 4-2-3-1.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Ath Bilbao
L
W
W
D
D
Ath Madrid
L
W
W
W
W
Squad News
Ath Bilbao
- Injured Aymeric Laporte ★ Defender · Intestinal virus
- Injured Nico Williams ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Oihan Sancet ★ Midfielder · Calf injury
- Injured Unai Egiluz Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
Ath Madrid
No known absences
Confirmed Lineups
Ath Bilbao
4-2-3-1
- Unai Simón
- Aymeric Laporte
- Yeray Álvarez
- Yuri Berchiche
- Jesús Areso
- Beñat Gerenabarrena
- Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
- Robert Navarro
- Nico Williams
- Oihan Sancet
- Iñaki Williams
Substitutes
- Alejandro Rego
- #31
- Beñat Prados
- Gorka Guruzeta
- Aitor Paredes
- Álex Padilla
- Maroan Sannadi
Ath Madrid
4-2-3-1
- Jan Oblak
- Dávid Hancko
- Marc Pubill
- Alejandro Grimaldo
- Marcos Llorente
- Morten Hjulmand
- Pablo Barrios
- Giuliano Simeone
- Ademola Lookman
- Álex Baena
- Kang-in Lee
Substitutes
- #46
- Rodrigo Mendoza
- Cristian Romero
- Johnny Cardoso
- Dani Martinez
- Arnau Ortiz
- Robin Le Normand
Season Stats
6
Played
8
8
Points
19
7
Goals Scored
18
6
Goals Conceded
8
+1
Goal Diff
+10
3
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
1 match played
Ath Bilbao
Draws
Ath Madrid
Last meeting (6 Dec 2025): 1-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (44%)
1
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Over (60%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (63%)
No
✗
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0