La Liga
— Matchday 37
Ath Madrid
vs
Ath Bilbao
1X2
Ath Madrid
59.4%
Draw
23.8%
Ath Bilbao
16.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
BTTS
Both Score
52.8%
No
47.2%
Model Reasoning
Ath Madrid favoured (59%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Ath Madrid to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Ath Bilbao are missing key attacker Nico Williams (Muscle injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Ath Madrid's favour.
• Ath Madrid have a solid attacking output.
• Ath Madrid have had a long break of 244 days and may take time to find their rhythm.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Ath Madrid
W
W
W
D
W
Ath Bilbao
D
D
D
L
W
Squad News
Ath Madrid
- Injured Koke ★ Midfielder · Muscle injury
Ath Bilbao
- Injured Gorka Guruzeta ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Unai Egiluz Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
Season Stats
10
Played
9
25
Points
12
20
Goals Scored
12
8
Goals Conceded
9
+12
Goal Diff
+3
5
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
1 match played
Ath Madrid
Draws
Ath Bilbao
Last meeting (25 Apr 2026): 3-2