Ath Madrid favoured (53%) Key factors: • The model expects Ath Madrid to create significantly more chances (1.9 xG vs 1.2 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in Ath Madrid's favour. • Ath Bilbao are missing key defender Unai Egiluz (Cruciate ligament tear). • Ath Madrid have had a long break of 251 days and may take time to find their rhythm. • Ath Bilbao return from a 252-day absence and could be ring-rusty. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.