La Liga
— Matchday 12
Ath Madrid
vs
Barcelona
1X2
Ath Madrid
49.9%
Draw
20.7%
Barcelona
29.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.8%
Under 2.5
24.2%
BTTS
Both Score
73.7%
No
26.3%
Double Chance
Ath Madrid or Draw
70.5%
Ath Madrid or Barcelona
79.4%
Draw or Barcelona
50.1%
Draw No Bet
Ath Madrid
62.8%
Barcelona
37.2%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Ath Madrid scores
89.5%
Ath Madrid fails to score
10.5%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Ath Madrid 2+ goals
65.8%
Ath Madrid 0-1 goals
34.2%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Barcelona scores
82.1%
Barcelona fails to score
17.9%
Correct Score
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
Half-Time Result
Ath Madrid at HT
39.4%
Draw at HT
34.2%
Barcelona at HT
26.5%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
81.9%
No 1st half goal
18.1%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
52.2%
1st half Under 1.5
47.8%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Ath Madrid / Ath Madrid
31.1%
Barcelona / Barcelona
17.1%
Draw / Ath Madrid
14.7%
Draw / Draw
9.9%
Draw / Barcelona
9.6%
Ath Madrid / Draw
5.4%
Barcelona / Draw
5.4%
Barcelona / Ath Madrid
4%
Ath Madrid / Barcelona
2.8%
Model Reasoning
Ath Madrid favoured (50%)
Key factors:
• Barcelona boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• The model expects Ath Madrid to create significantly more chances (2.2 xG vs 1.7 xG).
• Ath Madrid are without key midfielder Koke (Muscle injury).
• Barcelona are missing key defender Andreas Christensen (Muscle injury).
• Ath Madrid are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Ath Madrid
W
W
W
D
W
Barcelona
W
W
W
L
L
Squad News
Ath Madrid
- Injured Koke ★ Midfielder · Muscle injury
Barcelona
- Injured Andreas Christensen ★ Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Dani Olmo ★ Midfielder · Adductor tear
- Injured Eric García ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jules Koundé ★ Defender · Ankle sprain
- Injured Roony Bardghji ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Xavi Espart ★ Defender · Injury to the ankle
Season Stats
10
Played
10
25
Points
27
20
Goals Scored
40
8
Goals Conceded
11
+12
Goal Diff
+29
5
Clean Sheets
4
Head to Head
5 matches played
Ath Madrid
Draws
Barcelona
Last meeting (4 Apr 2026): 1-2