La Liga
— Matchday 11
Barcelona
vs
Alaves
1X2
Barcelona
68.3%
Draw
17.4%
Alaves
14.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.9%
Under 2.5
29.1%
BTTS
Both Score
62.2%
No
37.8%
Double Chance
Barcelona or Draw
85.7%
Barcelona or Alaves
82.6%
Draw or Alaves
31.7%
Draw No Bet
Barcelona
82.7%
Alaves
17.3%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.9%
Under 3.5
50.1%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Barcelona scores
92.2%
Barcelona fails to score
7.8%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Barcelona 2+ goals
72.4%
Barcelona 0-1 goals
27.6%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Alaves scores
67.2%
Alaves fails to score
32.9%
Correct Score
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
Half-Time Result
Barcelona at HT
51%
Draw at HT
33.4%
Alaves at HT
15.7%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
79.5%
No 1st half goal
20.5%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
48%
1st half Under 1.5
52%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Barcelona / Barcelona
45.5%
Draw / Barcelona
18.9%
Draw / Draw
9.2%
Alaves / Alaves
7.7%
Draw / Alaves
5.3%
Barcelona / Draw
4.1%
Alaves / Draw
4.1%
Alaves / Barcelona
3.9%
Barcelona / Alaves
1.3%
Model Reasoning
Barcelona favoured (68%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Barcelona to create significantly more chances (2.6 xG vs 1.1 xG).
• Barcelona have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Barcelona are without key defender Andreas Christensen (Muscle injury).
• Alaves are badly out of form, managing just 0 win(s) in their last 5.
• Playing at home is a factor in Barcelona's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Barcelona
W
W
W
L
L
Alaves
L
D
L
L
D
Squad News
Barcelona
- Injured Andreas Christensen ★ Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Dani Olmo ★ Midfielder · Adductor tear
- Injured Eric García ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jules Koundé ★ Defender · Ankle sprain
- Injured Roony Bardghji ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Xavi Espart ★ Defender · Injury to the ankle
Alaves
- Injured Facundo Garcés Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
Season Stats
10
Played
10
27
Points
12
40
Goals Scored
14
11
Goals Conceded
11
+29
Goal Diff
+3
4
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
4 matches played
Barcelona
Draws
Alaves
Last meeting (29 Nov 2025): 3-1