Bundesliga
— Matchday 8
Bayern Munich
vs
Dortmund
1X2
Bayern Munich
67%
Draw
17.7%
Dortmund
15.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Both Score
64%
No
36%
Double Chance
Bayern Munich or Draw
84.7%
Bayern Munich or Dortmund
82.3%
Draw or Dortmund
33%
Draw No Bet
Bayern Munich
81.4%
Dortmund
18.6%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Bayern Munich scores
92.3%
Bayern Munich fails to score
7.7%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Bayern Munich 2+ goals
72.5%
Bayern Munich 0-1 goals
27.5%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Dortmund scores
69.2%
Dortmund fails to score
30.9%
Correct Score
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
Half-Time Result
Bayern Munich at HT
51%
Draw at HT
32.4%
Dortmund at HT
16.6%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
81.2%
No 1st half goal
18.8%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
50.8%
1st half Under 1.5
49.2%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Bayern Munich / Bayern Munich
45.2%
Draw / Bayern Munich
17.9%
Draw / Draw
9.2%
Dortmund / Dortmund
8.5%
Draw / Dortmund
5.5%
Bayern Munich / Draw
4.3%
Dortmund / Draw
4.2%
Dortmund / Bayern Munich
3.9%
Bayern Munich / Dortmund
1.4%
Model Reasoning
Bayern Munich favoured (67%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Bayern Munich to create significantly more chances (2.6 xG vs 1.2 xG).
• Bayern Munich have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Bayern Munich are without key midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic (Calf problems).
• Dortmund are missing key midfielder Giannis Konstantelias (Cruciate ligament tear).
• Bayern Munich have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
D
D
W
D
W
Dortmund
D
L
D
W
W
Squad News
Bayern Munich
- Injured Aleksandar Pavlovic ★ Midfielder · Calf problems
- Injured Bara Sapoko Ndiaye ★ Midfielder · Appendectomy
- Injured Jamal Musiala ★ Midfielder · Torn muscle fiber
- Injured Luis Díaz ★ Attacker · Torn muscle bundle
- Injured Min-jae Kim ★ Defender · Groin problems
- Injured Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper · Foot injury
Dortmund
- Injured Giannis Konstantelias ★ Midfielder · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Kauã Prates ★ Defender · muscular problems
- Injured Konstantinos Karetsas ★ Midfielder · Ligament injury
- Injured Ramy Bensebaini ★ Defender · Thigh problems
- Injured Alexander Meyer Goalkeeper · Ill
- Injured Emre Can Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Justin Lerma Midfielder · Muscle injury
- Injured Mussa Kaba Midfielder · Shoulder injury
Season Stats
7
Played
7
17
Points
17
25
Goals Scored
12
6
Goals Conceded
4
+19
Goal Diff
+8
2
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
5 matches played
Bayern Munich
Draws
Dortmund
Last meeting (18 Oct 2025): 2-1