Bundesliga
— Matchday 4
Bayern Munich
vs
Union Berlin
1X2
Bayern Munich
87.6%
Draw
8.5%
Union Berlin
3.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82.2%
Under 2.5
17.8%
BTTS
Both Score
53.7%
No
46.3%
Model Reasoning
Bayern Munich favoured (88%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Bayern Munich to create significantly more chances (3.7 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Bayern Munich have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Bayern Munich are without key attacker Serge Gnabry (Fitness).
• Union Berlin are missing key attacker Andrej Ilic (Food poisoning).
• Bayern Munich are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Union Berlin
D
W
W
D
L
Squad News
Bayern Munich
- Injured Serge Gnabry ★ Attacker · Fitness
Union Berlin
- Injured Andrej Ilic ★ Attacker · Food poisoning
- Injured Andrik Markgraf Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Kastriot Imeri Midfielder · unknown injury
- Injured Marvin Friedrich Defender · Knock
- Injured Oliver Burke Attacker · Achilles tendon problems
- Injured Stanley Nsoki Defender · Muscle injury
Head to Head
1 match played
Bayern Munich
Draws
Union Berlin
Last meeting (21 Mar 2026): 4-0