Championship
— Matchday 8
Birmingham
2 – 2
Middlesbrough
1X2
Birmingham
28.5%
Draw
29.2%
Middlesbrough
42.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
BTTS
Both Score
53.8%
No
46.2%
Model Reasoning
Middlesbrough favoured (42%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Birmingham (1.1 vs 1.4).
• Birmingham have 3 player(s) unavailable: Lee Buchanan, Marc Leonard, Max Bird.
• Playing at home is a factor in Birmingham's favour.
• Middlesbrough carry a decent goal threat.
• Middlesbrough have been solid recently, winning 3 of their last 5.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Birmingham
D
W
W
W
L
Middlesbrough
D
W
W
D
W
Squad News
Birmingham
- Injured Lee Buchanan Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
- Injured Marc Leonard Midfielder · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Max Bird Midfielder · Calf injury
- Injured Taylor Gardner-Hickman Midfielder · Hamstring muscle injury
- Suspended Bright Osayi-Samuel Suspension
- Suspended Christoph Klarer Suspension
Middlesbrough
- Injured Alfie Jones ★ Defender · Calf injury
Season Stats
12
Played
12
20
Points
25
20
Goals Scored
27
12
Goals Conceded
17
+8
Goal Diff
+10
4
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Birmingham
Draws
Middlesbrough
Last meeting (2 Mar 2026): 1-3
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (42%)
X
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (52%)
Over
✗
BTTS
Yes (54%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
1