Championship
— Matchday 4
Birmingham
1 – 1
Southampton
1X2
Birmingham
29.6%
Draw
25.9%
Southampton
44.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
BTTS
Both Score
58.1%
No
41.9%
Model Reasoning
Southampton favoured (44%)
Key factors:
• Southampton boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Southampton are missing key midfielder Finn Azaz (unknown injury).
• A slight edge in expected goals for Birmingham (1.3 vs 1.6).
• Playing at home is a factor in Birmingham's favour.
• Birmingham have 3 player(s) unavailable: Lee Buchanan, Marc Leonard, Max Bird.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Birmingham
D
D
L
W
D
Southampton
D
D
W
W
L
Squad News
Birmingham
- Injured Lee Buchanan Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
- Injured Marc Leonard Midfielder · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Max Bird Midfielder · Calf injury
- Injured Taylor Gardner-Hickman Midfielder · Hamstring muscle injury
Southampton
- Injured Caspar Jander ★ Midfielder · Hamstring injury
- Injured Daniel Peretz ★ Goalkeeper · Muscle tear
- Injured Mads Roerslev Defender · Knee injury
Confirmed Lineups
Birmingham
4-2-3-1
- James Beadle
- Christoph Klarer
- Phil Neumann
- Alex Cochrane
- Bright Osayi-Samuel
- Jhon Solís
- Tomoki Iwata
- Patrick Roberts
- Carlos Vicente
- Jay Stansfield
- August Priske
Substitutes
- Kristoffer Lund
- Ryan Allsop
- Demarai Gray
- Marvin Ducksch
- Ethan Laird
- Seung-ho Paik
- Luis Vázquez
Southampton
4-2-3-1
- Daniel Peretz
- Keven Schlotterbeck
- Nathan Wood
- Ryan Manning
- James Bree
- Flynn Downes
- Cameron Bragg
- Tom Fellows
- Léo Scienza
- Finn Azaz
- Cyle Larin
Substitutes
- Romeo Akachukwu
- Welington
- Kuryu Matsuki
- Lewis Dobbin
- George Long
- James Ward-Prowse
- Jack Stephens
Season Stats
8
Played
8
11
Points
14
12
Goals Scored
19
11
Goals Conceded
10
+1
Goal Diff
+9
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Birmingham
Draws
Southampton
Last meeting (29 Dec 2025): 1-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (44%)
X
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Over (55%)
Under
✗
BTTS
Yes (58%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
1