Championship
— Matchday 4
Birmingham
vs
Southampton
1X2
Birmingham
31%
Draw
27.5%
Southampton
41.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Both Score
59.3%
No
40.7%
Model Reasoning
Southampton favoured (42%)
Key factors:
• Southampton are missing key midfielder Finn Azaz (unknown injury).
• Southampton boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Playing at home is a factor in Birmingham's favour.
• Birmingham have 3 player(s) unavailable: Lee Buchanan, Marc Leonard, Max Bird.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Birmingham (1.3 vs 1.6).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Birmingham
W
W
D
D
D
Southampton
D
D
W
L
W
Squad News
Birmingham
- Injured Lee Buchanan Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
- Injured Marc Leonard Midfielder · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Max Bird Midfielder · Calf injury
Southampton
- Injured Finn Azaz ★ Midfielder · unknown injury
- Injured Gavin Bazunu ★ Goalkeeper · unknown injury
- Injured Mads Roerslev Defender · Knee injury
- Injured Ryan Manning Defender · unknown injury
Season Stats
2
Played
2
2
Points
3
2
Goals Scored
4
2
Goals Conceded
3
+0
Goal Diff
+1
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Birmingham
Draws
Southampton
Last meeting (29 Dec 2025): 1-1