Arsenal favoured (58%) Key factors: • The model expects Brighton to create significantly more chances (0.8 xG vs 1.8 xG). • Arsenal arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5. • Brighton are without key attacker Evan Ferguson (Ankle problems). • Arsenal are missing key defender Cristhian Mosquera (Hamstring injury). • Arsenal are very hard to break down. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.