Premier League
— Matchday 5
Brighton
vs
Arsenal
1X2
Brighton
13.7%
Draw
26.1%
Arsenal
60.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
BTTS
Both Score
43.3%
No
56.8%
Model Reasoning
Arsenal favoured (60%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Brighton to create significantly more chances (0.7 xG vs 1.7 xG).
• Brighton are without key attacker Evan Ferguson (Ankle problems).
• Arsenal are missing key defender Cristhian Mosquera (Hamstring injury).
• Arsenal are very hard to break down.
• Arsenal boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Brighton
L
L
W
L
D
Arsenal
L
W
W
W
W
Squad News
Brighton
- Injured Evan Ferguson ★ Attacker · Ankle problems
- Injured Georginio Rutter ★ Attacker · Foot injury
- Injured Jack Hinshelwood ★ Midfielder · unknown injury
- Injured Kaoru Mitoma ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Mats Wieffer ★ Defender · Knee injury
- Injured Stefanos Tzimas ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Yankuba Minteh ★ Attacker · Foot injury
Arsenal
- Injured Cristhian Mosquera ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Jurriën Timber ★ Defender · Groin injury
- Injured William Saliba ★ Defender · Back injury
Season Stats
3
Played
3
4
Points
9
8
Goals Scored
6
5
Goals Conceded
1
+3
Goal Diff
+5
1
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Brighton
Draws
Arsenal
Last meeting (4 Mar 2026): 0-1