Brighton favoured (40%) Key factors: • Brighton are without key attacker Evan Ferguson (Ankle problems). • A slight edge in expected goals for Brighton (1.2 vs 0.9). • Sunderland's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Playing at home is a factor in Brighton's favour. • Brighton have had a long break of 237 days and may take time to find their rhythm. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.