Brighton favoured (51%) Key factors: • The model expects Brighton to create significantly more chances (1.5 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Brighton are without key attacker Evan Ferguson (Ankle injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Brighton's favour. • Brighton have a solid attacking output. • Sunderland have been struggling, losing 3 of their last 5 games. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.