Cardiff favoured (59%) Key factors: • The model expects Cardiff to create significantly more chances (1.8 xG vs 0.9 xG). • Stoke are badly out of form, managing just 0 win(s) in their last 5. • Stoke's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Playing at home is a factor in Cardiff's favour. • Stoke have been defensively average. Most likely scoreline: 1-0.