Liga Portugal
— Matchday 6
Casa Pia
1 – 4
Porto
1X2
Casa Pia
16.2%
Draw
32.9%
Porto
50.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
29.6%
Under 2.5
70.4%
BTTS
Both Score
35%
No
65%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (51%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Casa Pia to create significantly more chances (0.6 xG vs 1.3 xG).
• Porto are very hard to break down.
• Casa Pia have been struggling to score this season.
• Porto are missing key attacker Gabriel Mec (Pubic bone bruise).
• Casa Pia are in poor form, with only 0 win(s) from their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Casa Pia
L
D
L
W
L
Porto
L
W
W
W
L
Squad News
Casa Pia
- Injured André Gomes Goalkeeper · Muscle injury
Porto
- Injured William Gomes ★ Attacker · Ankle sprain
- Injured João Costa Goalkeeper · Meniscus injury
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
Season Stats
8
Played
8
4
Points
24
3
Goals Scored
20
17
Goals Conceded
4
-14
Goal Diff
+16
1
Clean Sheets
4
Head to Head
1 match played
Casa Pia
Draws
Porto
Last meeting (2 Feb 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (51%)
2
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (70%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (65%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1