Porto favoured (60%) Key factors: • The model expects Casa Pia to create significantly more chances (0.5 xG vs 1.5 xG). • Porto are very hard to break down. • Casa Pia have been struggling to score this season. • Porto arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5. • Porto are missing key attacker Gabriel Mec (Pubic bone bruise). Most likely scoreline: 0-1.