Liga Portugal
— Matchday 10
Casa Pia
vs
Sp Lisbon
1X2
Casa Pia
12.3%
Draw
18.2%
Sp Lisbon
69.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
BTTS
Both Score
53.2%
No
46.8%
Double Chance
Casa Pia or Draw
30.4%
Casa Pia or Sp Lisbon
81.8%
Draw or Sp Lisbon
87.8%
Draw No Bet
Casa Pia
15%
Sp Lisbon
85%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.1%
Under 3.5
59.9%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Casa Pia scores
58.6%
Casa Pia fails to score
41.4%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Casa Pia 2+ goals
22.1%
Casa Pia 0-1 goals
77.9%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Sp Lisbon scores
90.3%
Sp Lisbon fails to score
9.7%
Correct Score
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.5%
Half-Time Result
Casa Pia at HT
13.5%
Draw at HT
35.3%
Sp Lisbon at HT
51.2%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
75.8%
No 1st half goal
24.2%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
42.2%
1st half Under 1.5
57.8%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Sp Lisbon / Sp Lisbon
46.4%
Draw / Sp Lisbon
20%
Draw / Draw
10.6%
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
6.5%
Draw / Casa Pia
4.9%
Sp Lisbon / Draw
3.8%
Casa Pia / Draw
3.8%
Casa Pia / Sp Lisbon
3.2%
Sp Lisbon / Casa Pia
0.9%
Model Reasoning
Sp Lisbon favoured (70%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Casa Pia to create significantly more chances (0.9 xG vs 2.3 xG).
• Sp Lisbon boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Sp Lisbon are very hard to break down.
• Playing at home is a factor in Casa Pia's favour.
• Casa Pia's attack has been below average.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Casa Pia
D
L
W
L
W
Sp Lisbon
D
W
W
L
L
Squad News
Casa Pia
- Injured André Gomes Goalkeeper · Muscle injury
Sp Lisbon
- Injured Nuno Santos Defender · Fitness
- Suspended Zeno Debast Defender · Suspension
Season Stats
9
Played
9
7
Points
18
5
Goals Scored
21
17
Goals Conceded
11
-12
Goal Diff
+10
2
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
4 matches played
Casa Pia
Draws
Sp Lisbon
Last meeting (8 Aug 2025): 0-2