Liga Portugal
— Matchday 4
Nacional
2 – 3
Estrela
1X2
Nacional
49.1%
Draw
28%
Estrela
23%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
BTTS
Both Score
52.3%
No
47.7%
Model Reasoning
Nacional favoured (49%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Nacional to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 1.0 xG).
• Playing at home is a factor in Nacional's favour.
• Nacional are set up in a 3-4-2-1.
• Estrela have been defensively average.
• Nacional are without key defender Ivanildo Fernandes (unknown injury).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Nacional
L
L
L
L
L
Estrela
W
D
W
D
L
Squad News
Nacional
- Injured Filipe Soares Midfielder · Muscle injury
- Injured Léo Santos Defender · Torn lateral knee ligament
- Injured Ulisses Defender · Broken ankle
- Suspended Matheus Dias Suspension
Estrela
- Injured Jeremy Arévalo ★ Attacker · Back problems
Confirmed Lineups
Nacional
3-4-2-1
- Renato Marin
- Zé Vítor
- Matheus Dias
- Léo Santos
- Filipe Soares
- Liziero
- Wesley Gasolina
- William Kokolo
- Daniel Jr
- Miguel Baeza
- Pablo Ruan
Substitutes
- Markus Jensen
- Danel Dongmo
- Matchoi Djaló
- Deivison
- Stavros Gavriel
- Kevyn
- Allen Obando
Season Stats
7
Played
7
4
Points
10
7
Goals Scored
14
15
Goals Conceded
14
-8
Goal Diff
+0
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Nacional
Draws
Estrela
Last meeting (4 Apr 2026): 2-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (49%)
2
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (52%)
Over
✗
BTTS
Yes (52%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1