Liga Portugal
— Matchday 33
Nacional
vs
Porto
1X2
Nacional
16.5%
Draw
26.5%
Porto
57.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
55.8%
BTTS
Both Score
45.3%
No
54.8%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (57%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Nacional to create significantly more chances (0.8 xG vs 1.7 xG).
• Porto are very hard to break down.
• Nacional are in poor form, with only 0 win(s) from their last 5 matches.
• Porto are missing key attacker Gabriel Mec (Pubic bone bruise).
• Nacional's defence is weakened with 2 defender(s) out.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Nacional
L
L
L
L
W
Porto
W
W
L
L
W
Squad News
Nacional
- Injured Léo Santos Defender · Torn lateral knee ligament
- Injured Ulisses Defender · Broken ankle
- Suspended Matheus Dias Midfielder · Suspension
Porto
- Injured William Gomes ★ Attacker · Ankle sprain
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
Season Stats
9
Played
9
7
Points
27
10
Goals Scored
21
18
Goals Conceded
4
-8
Goal Diff
+17
2
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
1 match played
Nacional
Draws
Porto
Last meeting (15 Feb 2026): 0-1