La Liga
— Matchday 1
Celta
1 – 2
Osasuna
1X2
Celta
54.7%
Draw
28%
Osasuna
17.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
BTTS
Both Score
44.4%
No
55.6%
Model Reasoning
Celta favoured (55%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Celta to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Osasuna are badly out of form, managing just 0 win(s) in their last 5.
• Playing at home is a factor in Celta's favour.
• Osasuna face a short turnaround, having played just 3 days ago.
• Celta are set up in a 3-4-3.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Celta
L
D
D
D
W
Osasuna
W
L
L
L
D
Squad News
Celta
- Injured Jones El-Abdellaoui ★ Attacker · Knee injury
- Injured Iago Aspas Attacker · Hamstring injury
Osasuna
- Injured Aimar Oroz ★ Midfielder · Torn thigh muscle
- Injured Jorge Herrando Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Moi Gómez Midfielder · Hamstring injury
- Injured Raúl Moro Attacker · Torn thigh muscle
- Injured Valentin Rosier Defender · Muscle injury
Confirmed Lineups
Celta
3-4-3
- Ilaix Moriba
- Yoel Lago
- Ionuț Radu
- Javi Rodríguez
- Marcos Alonso
- Pablo Durán
- Miguel Román
- Carl Starfelt
- Sergio Carreira
- Hugo Álvarez
- Jones El-Abdellaoui
Substitutes
- #30
- Hugo González
- Altay Bayındır
- Abdoulaye Faye
- Aleix Febas
- #28
- Ferran Jutglà
Osasuna
5-4-1
- Kike Barja
- Iñigo Arguibide
- Sergio Herrera
- Asier Osambela
- Alejandro Catena
- Abel Bretones
- Raúl García
- Lucas Torró
- Iker Muñoz
- Rubén García
- Ante Budimir
Substitutes
- Aitor Fernández
- #26
- #35
- Moi Gómez
- Enzo Boyomo
- Raúl Moro
- Aimar Oroz
Season Stats
7
Played
7
7
Points
8
8
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
13
+2
Goal Diff
-7
3
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Celta
Draws
Osasuna
Last meeting (6 Feb 2026): 1-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (55%)
2
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (58%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (56%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
0