Championship
— Matchday 7
Derby
vs
Birmingham
1X2
Derby
38%
Draw
30.7%
Birmingham
31.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
BTTS
Both Score
47.8%
No
52.2%
Model Reasoning
Derby favoured (38%)
Key factors:
• Derby are without key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture).
• Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour.
• Birmingham are without 3 player(s): Lee Buchanan, Marc Leonard, Max Bird.
• Derby have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 5 matches.
• Both sides are expected to create similar chances (~1.2 xG each).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Derby
L
L
D
L
W
Birmingham
D
D
D
W
D
Squad News
Derby
- Injured Patrick Agyemang ★ Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Carlton Morris Attacker · Calf muscle tear
- Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Lewis Travis Midfielder · Leg injury
- Injured Matt Clarke Defender · Calf injury
Birmingham
- Injured Lee Buchanan Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
- Injured Marc Leonard Midfielder · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Max Bird Midfielder · Calf injury
Season Stats
4
Played
4
4
Points
6
5
Goals Scored
5
7
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Diff
+1
1
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Derby
Draws
Birmingham
Last meeting (21 Mar 2026): 1-0