Home / Football / Championship / Derby County vs Birmingham
Championship — Matchday 7
Derby
vs
Birmingham
Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 11:30 UTC
1X2
38%
30.7%
31.3%
Derby 38%
Draw 30.7%
Birmingham 31.3%
Over/Under 2.5
40.4%
59.6%
Over 2.5 40.4%
Under 2.5 59.6%
BTTS
47.8%
52.2%
Both Score 47.8%
No 52.2%
Model Reasoning
Derby favoured (38%) Key factors: • Derby are without key attacker Patrick Agyemang (Achilles tendon rupture). • Playing at home is a factor in Derby's favour. • Birmingham are without 3 player(s): Lee Buchanan, Marc Leonard, Max Bird. • Derby have struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 5 matches. • Both sides are expected to create similar chances (~1.2 xG each). Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Derby
L L D L W
Birmingham
D D D W D
Squad News
Derby
  • Injured Patrick Agyemang Attacker · Achilles tendon rupture
  • Injured Carlton Morris Attacker · Calf muscle tear
  • Injured Derry Murkin Defender · Hamstring injury
  • Injured Lewis Travis Midfielder · Leg injury
  • Injured Matt Clarke Defender · Calf injury
Birmingham
  • Injured Lee Buchanan Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
  • Injured Marc Leonard Midfielder · Achilles tendon rupture
  • Injured Max Bird Midfielder · Calf injury
Season Stats
4
Played
4
4
Points
6
5
Goals Scored
5
7
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Diff
+1
1
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
1
0
0
Derby Draws Birmingham
Last meeting (21 Mar 2026): 1-0